FairValue

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Butta

Magomedov

AMRussia · Fakel Voronezh

№ 395163Emerging €449k +0.20

Player dossierPremier Liga

ButtaMagomedov

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Fakel Voronezh
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
27
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Magomedov at €550k. Model A, which never saw Magomedov during training, estimates €449k: the market value is 22% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €718k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.20A €449k▼ −0.27B €718k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
1,034
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
7/32
Min / app
32
Cards
0Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Magomedov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €550k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €550kModel A €449k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Butta Magomedov's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 96th, Assists per 90 47th, Minutes, two years 14th, Starts 2nd, Minutes, last 365 days 8th, European club minutes 30th96thGoals47thAssists14thMinutes2ndStarts8thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.35 this player0.08 midfielder median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Nov 2017
Peak
€1M
Jun 2024
Model target
€550k
Dec 2025
Valuations
21
4 club changes
Dec 2025€550kFakel VoronezhValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €550k, Fakel Voronezh. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-11-24€75kSaturn Ramenskoe
2018-09-20€200kChaika Peschanokopskoe
2018-12-20€200kChaika Peschanokopskoe
2019-06-14€175kChaika Peschanokopskoe
2019-09-12€225kAlania Vladikavkaz
2019-12-23€250kAlania Vladikavkaz
2020-06-29€250kAlania Vladikavkaz
2020-12-29€350kAlania Vladikavkaz
2021-04-12€400kAlania Vladikavkaz
2021-05-24€500kAlania Vladikavkaz
2021-12-07€600kAlania Vladikavkaz
2022-06-02€600kFC Khimki
2022-11-21€600kFC Khimki
2023-04-13€800kFC Khimki
2023-06-14€800kFC Khimki
2023-11-30€900kFC Khimki
2024-06-14€1MFC Khimki
2024-09-18€800kFC Khimki
2024-12-12€700kFC Khimki
2025-06-04€600kFC Khimki
2025-12-03€550kFakel Voronezh

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.202

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 18% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€550kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 19% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€550kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Magomedov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).