FairValue

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Oleksandr

Pikhalyonok

CMUkraine · Dynamo Kyiv

№ 294780Established €4.9M −0.50

Player dossierPremier Liha

OleksandrPikhalyonok

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Dynamo Kyiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
29
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pikhalyonok at €3M. Model A, which never saw Pikhalyonok during training, estimates €4.9M: the market value is 39% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €12.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.50A €4.9M▼ −1.40B €12.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
3,864
Goals
11
Assists
15
Started
42/71
Min / app
54
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pikhalyonok…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €4.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Oleksandr Pikhalyonok's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 90th, Assists per 90 98th, Minutes, two years 72nd, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 93rd90thGoals98thAssists72ndMinutes33rdStarts73rdRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.35 this player0.09 midfielder median98th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Aug 2018
Peak
€5M
Jun 2023
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
3 club changes
Jun 2026€3MDynamo KyivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Dynamo Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-08-06€300kFC Mariupol
2018-12-10€500kFC Mariupol
2019-06-20€500kFC Mariupol
2020-01-08€500kShakhtar Donetsk
2020-04-08€400kShakhtar Donetsk
2020-09-04€500kShakhtar Donetsk
2021-01-14€400kSC Dnipro-1
2021-06-07€500kSC Dnipro-1
2021-12-20€1.5MSC Dnipro-1
2022-05-18€1.5MSC Dnipro-1
2022-09-06€1.8MSC Dnipro-1
2022-12-06€3MSC Dnipro-1
2023-06-21€5MSC Dnipro-1
2023-12-11€5MSC Dnipro-1
2024-06-06€5MSC Dnipro-1
2024-12-17€4MDynamo Kyiv
2025-06-10€3MDynamo Kyiv
2025-12-18€3MDynamo Kyiv
2026-06-02€3MDynamo Kyiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.496

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 92% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 56% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pikhalyonok appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).