Denys
Popov
CBUkraine · Dynamo Kyiv
Player dossierPremier Liha
DenysPopov
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Dynamo Kyiv
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Popov at €3M. Model A, which never saw Popov during training, estimates €2.2M: the market value is 36% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 54
- Minutes
- 4,107
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 47/54
- Min / app
- 76
- Cards
- 12Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Popov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
29% this player0% defender median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- May 2019
- Peak
- €4M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €3M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €3M, Dynamo Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-07 | €50k | Dynamo Kyiv II |
| 2019-06-20 | €800k | Dynamo Kyiv II |
| 2020-01-08 | €1.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.3M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2020-09-04 | €2.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2021-01-14 | €3.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2021-05-27 | €3.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2021-12-20 | €3M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2022-05-18 | €3M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2022-12-06 | €3M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2023-06-21 | €3M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2023-12-11 | €2.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2024-06-06 | €3M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2024-12-17 | €4M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2025-06-10 | €4M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2025-12-18 | €4M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2026-03-23 | €3.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2026-06-02 | €3M | Dynamo Kyiv |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.310
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 92% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Popov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PikhalyonokCMDynamo Kyiv · Premier Liha€3M
- MendozaLWKryvbas Kryvyi Rig · Premier Liha€3M
- TymchykRBDynamo Kyiv · Premier Liha€3.5M
- GutsulyakRWPolissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liha€3.5M
- AlabaCBReal Madrid · defenders€3M
- VrijCBInter Milan · defenders€3M
- KeaneCBEverton FC · defenders€3M
- WeiserRBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).