Mikhail
Oparin
GKRussia · Ural Yekaterinburg
Player dossierPremier Liga
MikhailOparin
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Ural Yekaterinburg
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 197 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Oparin at €200k. Model A, which never saw Oparin during training, estimates €275k: the market value is 27% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €388k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 12
- Minutes
- 1,023
- Started
- 11/12
- Min / app
- 85
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Oparin…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Jun 2015
- Peak
- €400k
- May 2022
- Model target
- €200k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 22
- 6 club changes
Dec 2025: €200k, Ural Yekaterinburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-06-11 | €75k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2016-01-10 | €75k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2016-07-01 | €75k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2016-10-28 | €100k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2017-06-01 | €300k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2017-12-23 | €350k | FC Tosno |
| 2018-06-06 | €350k | FC Tosno |
| 2018-12-20 | €350k | SKA Khabarovsk |
| 2019-06-14 | €350k | SKA Khabarovsk |
| 2019-12-23 | €250k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2020-06-29 | €250k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2020-12-29 | €300k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2021-05-24 | €350k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2021-12-07 | €350k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2022-05-30 | €400k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2022-11-21 | €400k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2023-06-14 | €400k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2023-12-13 | €350k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2024-06-04 | €350k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2024-12-12 | €300k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2025-06-02 | €250k | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 2025-12-03 | €200k | Ural Yekaterinburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.319
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 2% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 9% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Oparin appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PesjakovGKKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€200k
- KvekveskiriDMFC Orenburg · Premier Liga€200k
- ChernovLBFC Rostov · Premier Liga€200k
- DyupinGKFC Sochi · Premier Liga€200k
- GorgelinGKRC Lens · goalkeepers€200k
- ThoelenGKRoyal Antwerp FC · goalkeepers€200k
- DarlowGKLeeds United · goalkeepers€200k
- GüvençGKGalatasaray · goalkeepers€200k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).