Josip
Brekalo
LWCroatia · Real Oviedo
Player dossierLaLiga
JosipBrekalo
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Real Oviedo
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 12 Dec 2025
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Brekalo at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Brekalo during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 7% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 36
- Minutes
- 1,887
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 22/36
- Min / app
- 52
- Cards
- 4Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Brekalo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
61% this player59% attacker median54th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Mar 2016
- Peak
- €15M
- Oct 2019
- Model target
- €2.5M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 30
- 9 club changes
Dec 2025: €2.5M, Real Oviedo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-03-14 | €1M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2016-07-22 | €4M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2017-02-07 | €3M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2017-06-27 | €3M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2017-12-28 | €3.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2018-06-05 | €5.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2018-08-22 | €10M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2018-12-18 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2019-06-05 | €10M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2019-10-02 | €15M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2019-12-17 | €15M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2020-04-08 | €13.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2020-11-26 | €15M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-02-10 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-05-28 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-12-28 | €13M | Torino FC |
| 2022-03-15 | €15M | Torino FC |
| 2022-06-07 | €15M | Torino FC |
| 2022-09-21 | €10M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2022-11-09 | €7.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2023-03-21 | €6.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2023-06-15 | €5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2023-12-20 | €4.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2024-06-04 | €3.5M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2024-10-04 | €3.2M | Kasimpasa |
| 2024-12-23 | €3.2M | Kasimpasa |
| 2025-03-20 | €3.4M | Kasimpasa |
| 2025-06-18 | €3.3M | Kasimpasa |
| 2025-10-02 | €3M | Real Oviedo |
| 2025-12-12 | €2.5M | Real Oviedo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.069
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Brekalo appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MorenoCFVillarreal CF · LaLiga€2.5M
- LópezCMRayo Vallecano · LaLiga€2.5M
- TorróDMCA Osasuna · LaLiga€2.5M
- PickelDMRCD Espanyol Barcelona · LaLiga€2.5M
- KramaricSSTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · attackers€2.5M
- AubameyangCFOlympique Marseille · attackers€2.5M
- ZapataCFTorino FC · attackers€2.5M
- PléaCFPSV Eindhoven · attackers€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).