FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Viljar

Myhra

GKNorway · Odense Boldklub

№ 291254Emerging €407k +0.68

Player dossierSuperliga

ViljarMyhra

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Odense Boldklub
League
Superliga
Nationality
Norway
Age
29
Height
194 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Myhra at €800k. Model A, which never saw Myhra during training, estimates €407k: the market value is 96% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.96. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €579k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.68A €407k▲ +0.32B €579k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
15
Minutes
1,350
Started
15/15
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Myhra…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €407k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Viljar Myhra's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 27th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 45th, European club minutes 32nd27thMinutes62ndStarts45thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2014
Peak
€900k
Dec 2024
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
17
2 club changes
May 2026€800kOdense BoldklubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Odense Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-12-07€100kOdds BK
2015-12-27€100kOdds BK
2016-12-18€100kOdds BK
2017-12-23€200kOdds BK
2018-12-30€300kOdds BK
2019-12-29€200kStrømsgodset IF
2020-12-31€400kStrømsgodset IF
2022-01-03€500kStrømsgodset IF
2022-12-09€450kStrømsgodset IF
2023-06-29€500kStrømsgodset IF
2023-09-07€600kStrømsgodset IF
2023-12-15€750kStrømsgodset IF
2024-06-10€750kOdense Boldklub
2024-12-09€900kOdense Boldklub
2025-06-16€800kOdense Boldklub
2025-12-15€800kOdense Boldklub
2026-05-25€800kOdense Boldklub

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.675

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 46% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 39% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Myhra appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).