FairValue

Checking model

Esc

  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Jamal

Amofa

CBNetherlands · SC Cambuur Leeuwarden

№ 289651Emerging €327k +0.61

Player dossierEredivisie

JamalAmofa

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
27
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
16 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Amofa at €600k. Model A, which never saw Amofa during training, estimates €327k: the market value is 83% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.83. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €835k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.61A €327k▼ −0.33B €835k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
12
Minutes
930
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
11/12
Min / app
78
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Amofa…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €327k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Jamal Amofa's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 10th, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 83rd18thGoals17thAssists10thMinutes75thStarts1stRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

19% this player0% defender median83rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Oct 2020
Peak
€800k
Dec 2023
Model target
€600k
Dec 2025
Valuations
13
3 club changes
Dec 2025€600kSC Cambuur LeeuwardenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €600k, SC Cambuur Leeuwarden. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-10-14€75kADO Den Haag
2021-05-19€125kADO Den Haag
2021-10-12€175kADO Den Haag
2022-01-12€200kADO Den Haag
2022-06-23€350kADO Den Haag
2022-09-14€425kGo Ahead Eagles
2022-11-11€550kGo Ahead Eagles
2023-06-23€750kGo Ahead Eagles
2023-12-15€800kGo Ahead Eagles
2024-05-31€750kGo Ahead Eagles
2024-12-17€550kGo Ahead Eagles
2025-06-02€500kBotev Plovdiv
2025-12-16€600kSC Cambuur Leeuwarden

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.607

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 28% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Amofa appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).