FairValue

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Oleksandr

Tymchyk

RBUkraine · Dynamo Kyiv

№ 287792Established €1.3M +0.97

Player dossierPremier Liha

OleksandrTymchyk

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Dynamo Kyiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
29
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tymchyk at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Tymchyk during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 164% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.97A €1.3M▲ +0.19B €2.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
3,277
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
35/46
Min / app
71
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tymchyk…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Oleksandr Tymchyk's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 60th, Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 37th, Minutes, last 365 days 25th, European club minutes 89th18thGoals60thAssists58thMinutes37thStarts25thRecent89thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

24% this player0% defender median89th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jun 2017
Peak
€5M
Dec 2024
Model target
€3.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
2 club changes
Jun 2026€3.5MDynamo KyivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3.5M, Dynamo Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-26€300kDynamo Kyiv II
2018-01-12€300kZorya Lugansk
2018-08-06€400kZorya Lugansk
2018-12-10€600kZorya Lugansk
2019-06-20€600kZorya Lugansk
2020-01-08€1MZorya Lugansk
2020-04-08€800kZorya Lugansk
2020-09-04€1.2MDynamo Kyiv
2021-01-14€1.5MDynamo Kyiv
2021-05-27€1.2MDynamo Kyiv
2021-12-20€2.5MDynamo Kyiv
2022-05-18€2.5MDynamo Kyiv
2022-12-06€2MDynamo Kyiv
2023-06-21€3MDynamo Kyiv
2023-12-11€3MDynamo Kyiv
2024-06-06€4MDynamo Kyiv
2024-12-17€5MDynamo Kyiv
2025-06-10€5MDynamo Kyiv
2025-12-18€3.5MDynamo Kyiv
2026-06-02€3.5MDynamo Kyiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.970

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 93% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tymchyk appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).