FairValue

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Felix

Uduokhai

CBGermany · Besiktas JK

№ 278343Established €5.2M −0.40

Player dossierSüper Lig

FelixUduokhai

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Besiktas JK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Germany
Age
28
Height
193 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Uduokhai at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Uduokhai during training, estimates €5.2M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €10M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.40A €5.2M▼ −1.05B €10M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
53
Minutes
4,243
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
48/53
Min / app
80
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Uduokhai…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €5.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Felix Uduokhai's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 71st, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 87th18thGoals17thAssists73rdMinutes71stStarts50thRecent87thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

22% this player0% defender median87th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
Feb 2016
Peak
€16M
Jun 2021
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
34
3 club changes
May 2026€3.5MBesiktas JKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-02-11€125kTSV 1860 Munich
2016-07-22€150kTSV 1860 Munich
2017-01-23€500kTSV 1860 Munich
2017-03-27€700kTSV 1860 Munich
2017-06-27€800kTSV 1860 Munich
2017-10-18€2MVfL Wolfsburg
2017-12-28€5MVfL Wolfsburg
2018-04-04€8MVfL Wolfsburg
2018-06-05€8MVfL Wolfsburg
2018-12-18€4.5MVfL Wolfsburg
2019-06-05€3.5MVfL Wolfsburg
2019-10-02€6.5MFC Augsburg
2019-12-17€8.5MFC Augsburg
2020-04-08€6.8MFC Augsburg
2020-07-08€10MFC Augsburg
2020-11-26€12MFC Augsburg
2021-02-10€13MFC Augsburg
2021-06-09€16MFC Augsburg
2021-12-22€16MFC Augsburg
2022-03-24€12MFC Augsburg
2022-06-09€10MFC Augsburg
2022-11-09€10MFC Augsburg
2023-06-22€8.5MFC Augsburg
2023-10-18€7MFC Augsburg
2023-12-14€7MFC Augsburg
2024-05-29€7MFC Augsburg
2024-10-04€8.5MBesiktas JK
2024-12-23€8MBesiktas JK
2025-03-20€8MBesiktas JK
2025-06-18€7MBesiktas JK
2025-10-01€6MBesiktas JK
2025-12-17€5MBesiktas JK
2026-03-05€4MBesiktas JK
2026-05-21€3.5MBesiktas JK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.395

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 75% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Uduokhai appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).