Iñaki
Peña
GKSpain · Elche CF
Player dossierLaLiga
IñakiPeña
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Elche CF
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Peña at €4M. Model A, which never saw Peña during training, estimates €3.3M: the market value is 23% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 39
- Minutes
- 3,406
- Started
- 37/39
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Peña…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
13% this player0% goalkeeper median78th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Sept 2018
- Peak
- €10M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €4M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 21
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €4M, Elche CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-09-03 | €200k | FC Barcelona B |
| 2019-02-19 | €500k | FC Barcelona B |
| 2019-06-29 | €1M | FC Barcelona B |
| 2019-09-10 | €2.5M | FC Barcelona B |
| 2020-02-11 | €2.5M | FC Barcelona B |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.3M | FC Barcelona B |
| 2020-10-08 | €2.5M | FC Barcelona B |
| 2021-01-08 | €2.5M | FC Barcelona B |
| 2021-06-10 | €3M | FC Barcelona B |
| 2021-12-30 | €3M | FC Barcelona B |
| 2022-03-31 | €4.2M | Galatasaray |
| 2022-06-01 | €4.2M | Galatasaray |
| 2022-11-07 | €4M | FC Barcelona |
| 2023-06-13 | €4M | FC Barcelona |
| 2023-12-22 | €8M | FC Barcelona |
| 2024-06-07 | €8M | FC Barcelona |
| 2024-12-27 | €10M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-06-09 | €8M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-12-12 | €8M | Elche CF |
| 2026-03-16 | €5M | Elche CF |
| 2026-06-05 | €4M | Elche CF |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.203
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 75% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Peña appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CarvajalRBReal Madrid · LaLiga€4M
- LengletCBAtlético de Madrid · LaLiga€4M
- MaupayCFSevilla FC · LaLiga€4M
- GayàLBValencia CF · LaLiga€4M
- NeuerGKBayern Munich · goalkeepers€4M
- OrtegaGKNottingham Forest · goalkeepers€4M
- AreolaGKWest Ham United · goalkeepers€4M
- ZettererGKEintracht Frankfurt · goalkeepers€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).