Wilfred
Ndidi
DMNigeria · Besiktas JK
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSüper Lig
WilfredNdidi
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Besiktas JK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Nigeria
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Ndidi at €8M. Model A, which never saw Ndidi during training, estimates €6.7M: the market value is 20% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 57
- Minutes
- 4,647
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 55/57
- Min / app
- 82
- Cards
- 14Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ndidi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
96% this player69% midfielder median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Mar 2015
- Peak
- €60M
- Jun 2021
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 35
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €8M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-03-24 | €200k | KRC Genk |
| 2015-06-24 | €400k | KRC Genk |
| 2015-10-22 | €800k | KRC Genk |
| 2016-02-07 | €1M | KRC Genk |
| 2016-04-14 | €2M | KRC Genk |
| 2016-07-15 | €6M | KRC Genk |
| 2016-10-20 | €8M | KRC Genk |
| 2017-02-20 | €14M | Leicester City |
| 2017-06-28 | €14M | Leicester City |
| 2018-01-02 | €18M | Leicester City |
| 2018-05-28 | €25M | Leicester City |
| 2018-10-17 | €35M | Leicester City |
| 2018-12-19 | €35M | Leicester City |
| 2019-06-13 | €35M | Leicester City |
| 2019-12-10 | €45M | Leicester City |
| 2020-04-08 | €36M | Leicester City |
| 2020-07-30 | €45M | Leicester City |
| 2020-10-13 | €45M | Leicester City |
| 2021-03-18 | €50M | Leicester City |
| 2021-06-08 | €60M | Leicester City |
| 2021-12-23 | €60M | Leicester City |
| 2022-06-15 | €60M | Leicester City |
| 2022-09-15 | €50M | Leicester City |
| 2022-11-03 | €40M | Leicester City |
| 2023-03-16 | €32M | Leicester City |
| 2023-06-20 | €25M | Leicester City |
| 2023-10-27 | €18M | Leicester City |
| 2023-12-21 | €18M | Leicester City |
| 2024-03-07 | €16M | Leicester City |
| 2024-05-24 | €16M | Leicester City |
| 2024-12-16 | €18M | Leicester City |
| 2025-05-30 | €15M | Leicester City |
| 2025-10-01 | €12M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-12-17 | €10M | Besiktas JK |
| 2026-05-21 | €8M | Besiktas JK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.184
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 91% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ndidi appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- JakobsLBGalatasaray · Süper Lig€8M
- DennisDMGöztepe · Süper Lig€8M
- CernyRWBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€7M
- TaliscaAMFenerbahce · Süper Lig€7M
- BruyneAMSSC Napoli · midfielders€8M
- XhakaDMSunderland AFC · midfielders€8M
- FofanaCMFC Porto · midfielders€8M
- ChristieCMAFC Bournemouth · midfielders€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).