FairValue

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Harold

Moukoudi

CBCameroon · AEK Athens

№ 272636Established €6.9M −0.14

Player dossierSuper League

HaroldMoukoudi

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
AEK Athens
League
Super League
Nationality
Cameroon
Age
28
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Moukoudi at €6M. Model A, which never saw Moukoudi during training, estimates €6.9M: the market value is 13% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.14A €6.9M▲ +0.53B €3.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
4,719
Goals
6
Assists
0
Started
54/55
Min / app
86
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Moukoudi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €6.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Harold Moukoudi's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 91st, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 92nd, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 82nd91stGoals17thAssists79thMinutes92ndStarts77thRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

98% this player83% defender median92nd percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2015
Peak
€6M
Jun 2026
Model target
€6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
5 club changes
Jun 2026€6MAEK AthensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €6M, AEK Athens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-09-06€50kAC Le Havre B
2016-07-13€150kLe Havre AC
2017-03-20€150kLe Havre AC
2017-06-15€200kLe Havre AC
2018-05-16€1MLe Havre AC
2019-01-08€1.5MLe Havre AC
2019-06-03€3MLe Havre AC
2019-12-19€4MAS Saint-Étienne
2020-02-27€4MMiddlesbrough FC
2020-04-08€3.2MMiddlesbrough FC
2020-10-15€4MAS Saint-Étienne
2021-04-09€5MAS Saint-Étienne
2021-06-04€5MAS Saint-Étienne
2021-12-16€5MAS Saint-Étienne
2022-05-30€4MAS Saint-Étienne
2022-11-07€4MAEK Athens
2023-05-22€4MAEK Athens
2023-09-21€5MAEK Athens
2023-12-20€5MAEK Athens
2024-05-30€4MAEK Athens
2024-12-18€4MAEK Athens
2025-05-23€4MAEK Athens
2025-12-12€5MAEK Athens
2026-06-04€6MAEK Athens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.135

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 95% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Moukoudi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).