FairValue

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Henk

Veerman

CFNetherlands · FC Volendam

№ 271743Emerging €127k +0.68

Player dossierEredivisie

HenkVeerman

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
FC Volendam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
35
Height
201 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Veerman at €250k. Model A, which never saw Veerman during training, estimates €127k: the market value is 97% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €252k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.68A €127k▼ −0.01B €252k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
26
Minutes
1,776
Goals
5
Assists
1
Started
20/26
Min / app
68
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Veerman…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €127k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Henk Veerman's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 48th, Assists per 90 16th, Minutes, two years 39th, Starts 79th, Minutes, last 365 days 66th, European club minutes 28th48thGoals16thAssists39thMinutes79thStarts66thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

77% this player59% attacker median79th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jun 2013
Peak
€1.5M
Jan 2018
Model target
€250k
May 2026
Valuations
34
8 club changes
May 2026€250kFC VolendamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €250k, FC Volendam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-06-05€25kFC Volendam U21
2014-02-10€100kFC Volendam
2014-08-16€125kFC Volendam
2015-02-16€400kSC Heerenveen
2015-07-01€700kSC Heerenveen
2015-11-11€850kSC Heerenveen
2016-02-05€1MSC Heerenveen
2016-07-15€1MSC Heerenveen
2017-01-18€1.3MSC Heerenveen
2017-06-07€1MSC Heerenveen
2018-01-17€1.5MSC Heerenveen
2018-06-12€1MSC Heerenveen
2018-08-21€1MFC St. Pauli
2019-01-08€1MFC St. Pauli
2019-06-12€1MFC St. Pauli
2019-12-13€850kFC St. Pauli
2020-04-02€1MFC St. Pauli
2020-04-08€800kFC St. Pauli
2020-10-14€800kSC Heerenveen
2021-01-06€900kSC Heerenveen
2021-05-19€1.2MSC Heerenveen
2021-10-04€900kSC Heerenveen
2022-01-05€900kSC Heerenveen
2022-06-08€900kFC Utrecht
2022-11-11€700kFC Volendam
2023-03-17€500kFC Volendam
2023-06-23€500kFC Volendam
2024-01-08€500kADO Den Haag
2024-06-10€450kADO Den Haag
2024-12-10€400kFC Volendam
2025-03-14€350kFC Volendam
2025-06-09€350kFC Volendam
2025-12-02€325kFC Volendam
2026-05-28€250kFC Volendam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.678

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 5% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 6% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Veerman appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).