FairValue

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Maksym

Tretyakov

LWUkraine · Obolon Kyiv

№ 248938Emerging €264k −0.05

Player dossierPremier Liha

MaksymTretyakov

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Obolon Kyiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
30
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tretyakov at €250k. Model A, which never saw Tretyakov during training, estimates €264k: the market value is 5% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €633k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €264k▼ −0.93B €633k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
2,538
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
27/45
Min / app
56
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tretyakov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €264k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Maksym Tretyakov's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 15th, Assists per 90 48th, Minutes, two years 57th, Starts 52nd, Minutes, last 365 days 37th, European club minutes 28th15thGoals48thAssists57thMinutes52ndStarts37thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

2,538 this player2,242 attacker median57th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2016
Peak
€800k
Dec 2022
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
6 club changes
Jun 2026€250kObolon KyivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, Obolon Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-21€100kDnipro Dnipropetrovsk II (- 2020)
2017-01-03€200kChornomorets Odesa
2017-06-26€500kChornomorets Odesa
2018-01-12€600kChornomorets Odesa
2018-12-30€350kDAC Dunajska Streda
2019-06-25€300kDAC Dunajska Streda
2020-01-08€500kFC Oleksandriya
2020-04-08€400kFC Oleksandriya
2020-09-04€700kFC Oleksandriya
2021-01-14€600kFC Oleksandriya
2021-06-07€700kFC Oleksandriya
2021-12-20€700kFC Oleksandriya
2022-05-18€700kFC Oleksandriya
2022-12-06€800kFC Oleksandriya
2023-06-21€800kFC Oleksandriya
2023-12-11€600kSC Dnipro-1
2024-06-06€500kSC Dnipro-1
2024-12-17€400kKolos Kovalivka
2025-06-10€500kKolos Kovalivka
2025-12-18€400kKolos Kovalivka
2026-06-02€250kObolon Kyiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.053

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 17% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 6% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tretyakov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).