FairValue

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Portrait of Abdülkadir Ömür

Abdülkadir

Ömür

RMTürkiye · Antalyaspor

№ 271495Emerging €633k +0.86

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSüper Lig

AbdülkadirÖmür

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
Antalyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
26
Height
168 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ömür at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Ömür during training, estimates €633k: the market value is 137% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.37. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €767k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.86A €633k▲ +0.67B €767k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
1,624
Goals
0
Assists
3
Started
21/32
Min / app
51
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ömür…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €633k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Abdülkadir Ömür's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 76th, Minutes, two years 28th, Starts 44th, Minutes, last 365 days 43rd, European club minutes 30th10thGoals76thAssists28thMinutes44thStarts43rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.17 this player0.09 midfielder median76th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Apr 2016
Peak
€15M
Jun 2019
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
32
3 club changes
May 2026€1.5MAntalyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Antalyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-04-25€150kTrabzonspor
2016-07-15€150kTrabzonspor
2017-01-10€200kTrabzonspor
2017-06-09€200kTrabzonspor
2017-10-06€700kTrabzonspor
2018-02-12€4MTrabzonspor
2018-05-29€8MTrabzonspor
2019-01-04€10MTrabzonspor
2019-06-04€15MTrabzonspor
2020-01-03€14MTrabzonspor
2020-04-08€12.5MTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€13MTrabzonspor
2020-12-23€11MTrabzonspor
2021-03-16€8.5MTrabzonspor
2021-05-25€8.5MTrabzonspor
2021-10-12€6MTrabzonspor
2022-01-04€7.5MTrabzonspor
2022-03-31€9.5MTrabzonspor
2022-06-01€10.5MTrabzonspor
2022-10-27€9.5MTrabzonspor
2023-03-14€9MTrabzonspor
2023-06-08€8MTrabzonspor
2023-09-27€8MTrabzonspor
2023-12-21€8MTrabzonspor
2024-05-24€7MHull City
2024-12-30€6MHull City
2025-03-20€4.7MCaykur Rizespor
2025-06-18€3.6MCaykur Rizespor
2025-10-01€3MAntalyaspor
2025-12-17€2.5MAntalyaspor
2026-03-05€2.2MAntalyaspor
2026-05-21€1.5MAntalyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.863

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 52% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ömür appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).