Mathias
Rasmussen
CMNorway · FC St. Pauli
Player dossierBundesliga
MathiasRasmussen
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC St. Pauli
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Norway
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Rasmussen at €2M. Model A, which never saw Rasmussen during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 37% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 64
- Minutes
- 3,070
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 33/64
- Min / app
- 48
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rasmussen…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
21% this player0% midfielder median85th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Aug 2015
- Peak
- €3M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €2M, FC St. Pauli. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-08-19 | €100k | IK Start |
| 2015-12-27 | €100k | IK Start |
| 2016-08-12 | €150k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2016-12-12 | €150k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2017-06-21 | €150k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2017-12-18 | €350k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2018-06-02 | €350k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2018-12-21 | €400k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2019-06-08 | €700k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2019-12-22 | €700k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2020-04-08 | €550k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2020-07-31 | €500k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2020-12-31 | €500k | SK Brann |
| 2022-01-03 | €500k | SK Brann |
| 2022-12-09 | €900k | SK Brann |
| 2023-06-29 | €1.2M | SK Brann |
| 2023-12-19 | €1.8M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2024-03-22 | €2.8M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2024-06-04 | €2.8M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2024-12-11 | €2.2M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-06-12 | €2M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-10-01 | €3M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-12-10 | €2.5M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2026-05-27 | €2M | FC St. Pauli |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.457
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 19% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Rasmussen appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GünterLBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€2M
- RönnowGK1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga€2M
- KohrCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€2M
- KhediraDM1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga€2M
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · midfielders€2M
- GudeljDMSevilla FC · midfielders€2M
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€2M
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · midfielders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).