FairValue

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Adam

Buksa

CFPoland · Udinese Calcio

№ 267160Established €6.9M −0.67

Player dossierSerie A

AdamBuksa

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Udinese Calcio
League
Serie A
Nationality
Poland
Age
29
Height
191 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Buksa at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Buksa during training, estimates €6.9M: the market value is 49% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.96. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.67A €6.9M▼ −0.77B €7.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
3,676
Goals
15
Assists
1
Started
39/63
Min / app
58
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Buksa…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €6.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Adam Buksa's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 70th, Assists per 90 11th, Minutes, two years 76th, Starts 55th, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 97th70thGoals11thAssists76thMinutes55thStarts55thRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

36% this player0% attacker median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2013
Peak
€9M
Apr 2022
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
32
8 club changes
May 2026€3.5MUdinese CalcioValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, Udinese Calcio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-22€50kNovara Primavera
2014-05-18€75kNovara Primavera
2014-07-21€100kLechia Gdansk
2015-03-05€100kLechia Gdansk
2015-06-30€150kLechia Gdansk
2016-01-10€200kLechia Gdansk
2016-03-28€200kLechia Gdansk
2016-07-24€150kLechia Gdansk
2017-01-21€225kZaglebie Lubin
2017-07-05€225kZaglebie Lubin
2018-01-16€200kPogon Szczecin
2018-07-03€300kPogon Szczecin
2019-01-25€750kPogon Szczecin
2019-06-29€1MPogon Szczecin
2020-02-28€3.5MNew England Revolution
2020-04-08€2.8MNew England Revolution
2020-08-26€3.5MNew England Revolution
2020-12-18€4.5MNew England Revolution
2021-07-09€4.5MNew England Revolution
2021-11-09€7MNew England Revolution
2022-04-01€9MNew England Revolution
2022-11-02€7MRC Lens
2023-06-27€5MRC Lens
2023-09-27€5MAntalyaspor
2023-12-21€5.5MAntalyaspor
2024-03-15€6MAntalyaspor
2024-05-31€6MAntalyaspor
2024-12-09€6MFC Midtjylland
2025-06-16€6MFC Midtjylland
2025-10-07€5MUdinese Calcio
2025-12-23€4MUdinese Calcio
2026-05-29€3.5MUdinese Calcio

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.672

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 56% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Buksa appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).