Adam
Buksa
Player dossierSerie A
AdamBuksa
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Udinese Calcio
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Poland
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Buksa at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Buksa during training, estimates €6.9M: the market value is 49% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.96. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 63
- Minutes
- 3,676
- Goals
- 15
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 39/63
- Min / app
- 58
- Cards
- 10Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Buksa…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
36% this player0% attacker median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jul 2013
- Peak
- €9M
- Apr 2022
- Model target
- €3.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 32
- 8 club changes
May 2026: €3.5M, Udinese Calcio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-07-22 | €50k | Novara Primavera |
| 2014-05-18 | €75k | Novara Primavera |
| 2014-07-21 | €100k | Lechia Gdansk |
| 2015-03-05 | €100k | Lechia Gdansk |
| 2015-06-30 | €150k | Lechia Gdansk |
| 2016-01-10 | €200k | Lechia Gdansk |
| 2016-03-28 | €200k | Lechia Gdansk |
| 2016-07-24 | €150k | Lechia Gdansk |
| 2017-01-21 | €225k | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 2017-07-05 | €225k | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 2018-01-16 | €200k | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2018-07-03 | €300k | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2019-01-25 | €750k | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2019-06-29 | €1M | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2020-02-28 | €3.5M | New England Revolution |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.8M | New England Revolution |
| 2020-08-26 | €3.5M | New England Revolution |
| 2020-12-18 | €4.5M | New England Revolution |
| 2021-07-09 | €4.5M | New England Revolution |
| 2021-11-09 | €7M | New England Revolution |
| 2022-04-01 | €9M | New England Revolution |
| 2022-11-02 | €7M | RC Lens |
| 2023-06-27 | €5M | RC Lens |
| 2023-09-27 | €5M | Antalyaspor |
| 2023-12-21 | €5.5M | Antalyaspor |
| 2024-03-15 | €6M | Antalyaspor |
| 2024-05-31 | €6M | Antalyaspor |
| 2024-12-09 | €6M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2025-06-16 | €6M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2025-10-07 | €5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2025-12-23 | €4M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2026-05-29 | €3.5M | Udinese Calcio |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.672
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 56% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Buksa appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ModrićCMAC Milan · Serie A€3.5M
- GeaGKACF Fiorentina · Serie A€3.5M
- FüllkrugCFAC Milan · Serie A€3.5M
- SpinazzolaLBSSC Napoli · Serie A€3.5M
- IngsCFSheffield United · attackers€3.5M
- BernardeschiRWBologna FC 1909 · attackers€3.5M
- TabakovicCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · attackers€3.5M
- YaremchukCFOlympique Lyon · attackers€3.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).





