Álvaro
Fidalgo
CMMexico · Real Betis Balompié
Player dossierLaLiga
ÁlvaroFidalgo
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Real Betis Balompié
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Mexico
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Fidalgo at €6M. Model A, which never saw Fidalgo during training, estimates €3M: the market value is 102% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 13
- Minutes
- 749
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 10/13
- Min / app
- 58
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fidalgo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
21% this player0% midfielder median85th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2016
- Peak
- €10M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €6M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 29
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €6M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-08-01 | €50k | CF Rayo Majadahonda |
| 2016-10-27 | €200k | CF Rayo Majadahonda |
| 2017-02-02 | €250k | CF Rayo Majadahonda |
| 2017-06-30 | €250k | Real Madrid Castilla |
| 2018-01-01 | €150k | Real Madrid Castilla |
| 2018-05-30 | €150k | Real Madrid Castilla |
| 2019-02-19 | €200k | Real Madrid Castilla |
| 2019-06-29 | €300k | Real Madrid Castilla |
| 2019-09-10 | €300k | Real Madrid Castilla |
| 2020-02-11 | €300k | Real Madrid Castilla |
| 2020-10-08 | €300k | CD Castellón |
| 2020-11-23 | €400k | CD Castellón |
| 2021-01-08 | €400k | CD Castellón |
| 2021-04-21 | €1M | CF América |
| 2021-10-15 | €3.5M | CF América |
| 2022-04-11 | €4M | CF América |
| 2022-09-08 | €6M | CF América |
| 2022-10-31 | €6M | CF América |
| 2023-03-30 | €7M | CF América |
| 2023-06-29 | €7M | CF América |
| 2023-12-29 | €8M | CF América |
| 2024-06-14 | €8M | CF América |
| 2024-10-10 | €7.5M | CF América |
| 2024-12-11 | €8M | CF América |
| 2025-03-31 | €8.5M | CF América |
| 2025-05-26 | €9M | CF América |
| 2025-12-29 | €8.5M | CF América |
| 2026-03-16 | €10M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2026-06-05 | €6M | Real Betis Balompié |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.703
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 69% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Fidalgo appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RüdigerCBReal Madrid · LaLiga€6M
- GuedesLWReal Sociedad · LaLiga€6M
- BatallaGKRayo Vallecano · LaLiga€6M
- SiveraGKDeportivo Alavés · LaLiga€6M
- CasemiroDMManchester United · midfielders€6M
- SabitzerCMBorussia Dortmund · midfielders€6M
- AndrichDMBayer 04 Leverkusen · midfielders€6M
- PašalićCMAtalanta BC · midfielders€6M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).