FairValue

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Umut

Bozok

CFTürkiye · Eyüpspor

№ 259025Emerging €1.5M −0.03

Player dossierSüper Lig

UmutBozok

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Eyüpspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
29
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bozok at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Bozok during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 3% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.03A €1.5M▼ −0.16B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
2,795
Goals
9
Assists
8
Started
28/52
Min / app
54
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bozok…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Umut Bozok's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 55th, Assists per 90 84th, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 41st, Minutes, last 365 days 79th, European club minutes 28th55thGoals84thAssists63rdMinutes41stStarts79thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.26 this player0.15 attacker median84th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Feb 2017
Peak
€6M
Dec 2018
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
28
6 club changes
May 2026€1.5MEyüpsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-02-20€500kGS Consolat Marseille
2018-05-16€3MNîmes Olympique
2018-09-06€5MNîmes Olympique
2018-12-17€6MNîmes Olympique
2019-06-03€4MNîmes Olympique
2019-09-30€2MFC Lorient
2020-01-06€1.5MFC Lorient
2020-04-08€1.2MFC Lorient
2020-10-15€1.5MFC Lorient
2021-06-25€1.2MESTAC Troyes
2021-10-12€1.5MKasimpasa
2022-01-04€2.5MKasimpasa
2022-03-31€4MKasimpasa
2022-06-01€5MKasimpasa
2022-10-27€5.5MTrabzonspor
2023-03-14€4.5MTrabzonspor
2023-06-08€4.2MTrabzonspor
2023-09-27€3.7MTrabzonspor
2023-12-21€2.4MTrabzonspor
2024-03-15€2MTrabzonspor
2024-05-31€1.8MTrabzonspor
2024-10-04€1.8MTrabzonspor
2024-12-23€1.4MTrabzonspor
2025-03-20€1.4MEyüpspor
2025-06-18€1.4MEyüpspor
2025-10-01€1.2MEyüpspor
2025-12-17€1.2MEyüpspor
2026-05-21€1.5MEyüpspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.029

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 52% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bozok appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).