FairValue

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Unai

Elgezabal

CBSpain · Levante UD

№ 255495Emerging €596k −0.18

Player dossierLaLiga

UnaiElgezabal

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Levante UD
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
33
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Elgezabal at €500k. Model A, which never saw Elgezabal during training, estimates €596k: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €362k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.18A €596k▲ +0.32B €362k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
13
Minutes
1,023
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
12/13
Min / app
79
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Elgezabal…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €596k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Unai Elgezabal's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 97th, Assists per 90 74th, Minutes, two years 13th, Starts 77th, Minutes, last 365 days 29th, European club minutes 30th97thGoals74thAssists13thMinutes77thStarts29thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.18 this player0.03 defender median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jul 2016
Peak
€700k
Jun 2023
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
22
5 club changes
Jun 2026€500kLevante UDValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, Levante UD. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-15€300kSD Eibar
2017-01-24€300kAD Alcorcón
2017-06-29€300kAD Alcorcón
2018-01-01€300kCD Numancia
2018-05-30€300kCD Numancia
2019-02-19€300kAD Alcorcón
2019-06-29€400kAD Alcorcón
2019-12-20€400kAD Alcorcón
2020-04-08€325kAD Alcorcón
2020-10-08€300kBurgos CF
2021-01-07€300kBurgos CF
2021-06-30€350kBurgos CF
2021-12-27€300kBurgos CF
2022-06-29€500kBurgos CF
2022-12-29€600kBurgos CF
2023-06-14€700kBurgos CF
2023-12-20€700kBurgos CF
2024-06-24€700kBurgos CF
2024-12-13€700kLevante UD
2025-06-24€700kLevante UD
2025-12-12€600kLevante UD
2026-06-05€500kLevante UD

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.176

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 2% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 19% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Elgezabal appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).