JuanSoriano

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club: CD Leganés
League: LaLiga
Nationality: Spain
Age: 28
Height: 185 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 30 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Soriano at €1M. Model A, which never saw Soriano during training, estimates €938k: the market value is 7% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €432k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 11
Minutes: 1,020
Started: 11/11
Min / app: 93
Cards: 1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Soriano…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €200k; Oct 2016
Peak: €2.5M; Jun 2019
Model target: €1M; Dec 2025
Valuations: 25; 5 club changes

Dec 2025€1MCD LeganésValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €1M, CD Leganés. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2016-10-27	€200k	Sevilla Atlético
2017-01-24	€200k	Sevilla Atlético
2017-06-29	€200k	Sevilla Atlético
2018-01-01	€600k	Sevilla Atlético
2018-05-30	€600k	Sevilla Atlético
2018-09-07	€1M	Sevilla FC
2018-12-21	€1M	Sevilla FC
2019-06-11	€2.5M	Sevilla FC
2019-12-20	€2M	CD Leganés
2020-04-08	€1.6M	CD Leganés
2020-10-08	€1.6M	Málaga CF
2020-11-23	€1.2M	Málaga CF
2020-12-30	€1.2M	Málaga CF
2021-06-24	€1M	Málaga CF
2021-12-27	€1M	CD Tenerife
2022-06-29	€1M	CD Tenerife
2022-12-29	€1M	CD Tenerife
2023-06-14	€1M	CD Tenerife
2023-12-20	€1.2M	CD Tenerife
2024-03-26	€1.5M	CD Tenerife
2024-06-24	€1.5M	CD Tenerife
2024-12-27	€1.5M	CD Leganés
2025-03-21	€1.2M	CD Leganés
2025-06-09	€1M	CD Leganés
2025-12-30	€1M	CD Leganés

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.064

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 8% of the 509 LaLiga players.

See them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 48% of the 485 goalkeepers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Soriano appears

TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).