Gautier

Lloris

CBFrance · Le Havre AC

№ 249636Established €1.7M +0.54

Player dossierLigue 1

GautierLloris

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club: Le Havre AC
League: Ligue 1
Nationality: France
Age: 30
Height: 191 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lloris at €3M. Model A, which never saw Lloris during training, estimates €1.7M: the market value is 72% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.72. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 60
Minutes: 5,170
Goals: 3
Assists: 2
Started: 59/60
Min / app: 86
Cards: 6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lloris…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

98% this player83% defender median93rd percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €150k; Sept 2015
Peak: €3M; Mar 2024
Model target: €3M; Jun 2026
Valuations: 24; 4 club changes

Jun 2026€3MLe Havre ACValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Le Havre AC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2015-09-06	€150k	OGC Nice
2016-02-04	€150k	OGC Nice
2016-07-13	€150k	OGC Nice
2017-01-16	€150k	OGC Nice
2017-06-01	€150k	OGC Nice
2018-05-16	€150k	GFC Ajaccio
2018-12-17	€150k	OGC Nice
2019-06-03	€150k	OGC Nice
2019-12-19	€400k	OGC Nice
2020-04-08	€325k	OGC Nice
2020-11-11	€400k	AJ Auxerre
2021-06-25	€500k	AJ Auxerre
2021-12-27	€450k	AJ Auxerre
2022-06-02	€400k	AJ Auxerre
2022-10-28	€800k	Le Havre AC
2023-04-06	€1M	Le Havre AC
2023-06-16	€1.5M	Le Havre AC
2023-12-18	€2.5M	Le Havre AC
2024-03-19	€3M	Le Havre AC
2024-06-03	€3M	Le Havre AC
2024-12-10	€3M	Le Havre AC
2025-06-03	€3M	Le Havre AC
2025-12-15	€3M	Le Havre AC
2026-06-01	€3M	Le Havre AC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.540

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 30% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Lloris appears

TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).