FairValue

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Ludovic

Ajorque

CFFrance · Stade Brestois 29

№ 283994Established €6M −0.69

Player dossierLigue 1

LudovicAjorque

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Stade Brestois 29
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
32
Height
196 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ajorque at €3M. Model A, which never saw Ajorque during training, estimates €6M: the market value is 50% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.99. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.69A €6M▼ −0.47B €4.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
5,972
Goals
21
Assists
16
Started
69/71
Min / app
84
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ajorque…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Ludovic Ajorque's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 60th, Assists per 90 81st, Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 99th, Minutes, last 365 days 93rd, European club minutes 71st60thGoals81stAssists97thMinutes99thStarts93rdRecent71stEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

97% this player59% attacker median99th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Nov 2014
Peak
€16M
May 2022
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
5 club changes
Jun 2026€3MStade Brestois 29Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Stade Brestois 29. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-11-20€150kLe Poiré-sur-Vie VF
2016-07-13€250kAngers SCO
2017-03-20€400kClermont Foot 63
2017-06-15€500kClermont Foot 63
2018-05-16€900kClermont Foot 63
2018-09-06€1.8MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2018-12-17€1.8MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2019-03-07€3MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2019-06-03€4MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2019-12-19€6MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2020-03-13€8.5MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2020-04-08€6.8MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2020-10-15€7MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2021-01-07€8MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2021-04-09€10MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2021-06-04€12MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2021-12-16€15MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2022-05-30€16MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2022-09-19€14MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2022-11-02€11MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2023-03-29€9M1.FSV Mainz 05
2023-06-22€9M1.FSV Mainz 05
2023-12-14€7M1.FSV Mainz 05
2024-03-27€4M1.FSV Mainz 05
2024-05-29€3M1.FSV Mainz 05
2024-12-10€4MStade Brestois 29
2025-06-03€4MStade Brestois 29
2025-12-15€3.5MStade Brestois 29
2026-06-01€3MStade Brestois 29

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.686

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 30% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ajorque appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).