FairValue

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Kenneth

Paal

LBSuriname · Antalyaspor

№ 247596Established €919k +0.78

Player dossierSüper Lig

KennethPaal

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Antalyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Suriname
Age
28
Height
174 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Paal at €2M. Model A, which never saw Paal during training, estimates €919k: the market value is 118% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.78A €919k▲ +0.39B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,882
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
32/34
Min / app
85
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Paal…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €919k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Kenneth Paal's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 51st, Starts 81st, Minutes, last 365 days 86th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists51stMinutes81stStarts86thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,882 this player1,687 defender median86th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2014
Peak
€2.8M
Jun 2023
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
30
5 club changes
May 2026€2MAntalyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Antalyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-08-15€50kPSV Eindhoven U19
2015-02-21€150kPSV Eindhoven U19
2015-07-01€150kPSV Eindhoven U21
2015-11-11€300kPSV Eindhoven U21
2016-02-05€300kPSV Eindhoven U21
2016-07-15€350kPSV Eindhoven U21
2017-01-18€300kPSV Eindhoven U21
2017-06-07€300kPSV Eindhoven U21
2017-10-26€600kPSV Eindhoven
2018-01-17€600kPSV Eindhoven
2018-06-12€700kPSV Eindhoven
2018-12-28€900kPEC Zwolle
2019-06-12€900kPEC Zwolle
2019-12-18€900kPEC Zwolle
2020-04-08€725kPEC Zwolle
2020-10-14€725kPEC Zwolle
2021-01-06€900kPEC Zwolle
2021-03-09€1MPEC Zwolle
2021-05-19€1MPEC Zwolle
2022-01-05€750kPEC Zwolle
2022-06-08€700kPEC Zwolle
2022-09-14€1MQueens Park Rangers
2022-10-27€2MQueens Park Rangers
2023-06-01€2.8MQueens Park Rangers
2023-12-21€2.8MQueens Park Rangers
2024-05-24€2.8MQueens Park Rangers
2024-12-30€2.8MQueens Park Rangers
2025-05-27€2.8MQueens Park Rangers
2025-12-17€2.5MAntalyaspor
2026-05-21€2MAntalyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.778

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 61% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Paal appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).