FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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László

Bénes

CMSlovakia · Kayserispor

№ 243188Established €1.4M +0.58

Player dossierSüper Lig

LászlóBénes

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Kayserispor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Slovakia
Age
28
Height
181 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bénes at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Bénes during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 79% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.58A €1.4M▲ +0.26B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
3,306
Goals
9
Assists
3
Started
34/57
Min / app
58
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bénes…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

László Bénes's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 88th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 62nd, Starts 34th, Minutes, last 365 days 83rd, European club minutes 30th88thGoals44thAssists62ndMinutes34thStarts83rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.25 this player0.08 midfielder median88th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2015
Peak
€10M
Dec 2019
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
30
8 club changes
May 2026€2.5MKayserisporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Kayserispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-06-09€100kMSK Zilina
2015-12-14€300kMSK Zilina
2016-06-28€500kMSK Zilina
2016-07-22€1.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2017-02-07€1MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2017-06-19€1.8MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2017-12-28€1.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2018-06-05€1.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2018-12-18€1MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2019-06-12€1.5MHolstein Kiel
2019-10-02€4MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2019-12-17€10MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2020-04-08€8MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2020-11-26€6MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2021-02-10€5MFC Augsburg
2021-05-31€4MFC Augsburg
2021-12-22€3.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2022-06-09€3MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2022-09-28€2MHamburger SV
2022-11-30€2.2MHamburger SV
2023-06-28€2.2MHamburger SV
2023-10-20€3.5MHamburger SV
2023-12-15€4MHamburger SV
2024-03-22€5MHamburger SV
2024-06-06€5MHamburger SV
2024-12-20€4M1.FC Union Berlin
2025-06-05€3M1.FC Union Berlin
2025-12-17€3MKayserispor
2026-03-05€2.8MKayserispor
2026-05-21€2.5MKayserispor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.585

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 68% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bénes appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).