Reinildo

Mandava

LBMozambique · Sunderland AFC

№ 240692Established €4.7M −0.15

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

ReinildoMandava

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club: Sunderland AFC
League: Premier League
Nationality: Mozambique
Age: 32
Height: 180 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mandava at €4M. Model A, which never saw Mandava during training, estimates €4.7M: the market value is 14% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 55
Minutes: 3,492
Goals: 0
Assists: 2
Started: 38/55
Min / app: 63
Cards: 14Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mandava…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

11% this player0% defender median73rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €25k; Mar 2016
Peak: €25M; Sept 2022
Model target: €4M; Jun 2026
Valuations: 30; 5 club changes

Jun 2026€4MSunderland AFCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4M, Sunderland AFC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2016-03-14	€25k	SL Benfica B
2016-09-30	€150k	SL Benfica B
2017-06-30	€200k	SL Benfica B
2017-09-08	€200k	SC Covilhã
2018-02-23	€250k	SC Covilhã
2018-06-29	€425k	SC Covilhã
2019-01-11	€600k	B SAD (2018-2024)
2019-06-03	€600k	LOSC Lille
2019-09-27	€2M	LOSC Lille
2019-12-19	€3M	LOSC Lille
2020-04-08	€2.4M	LOSC Lille
2020-08-03	€3M	LOSC Lille
2020-10-15	€3M	LOSC Lille
2021-04-09	€6M	LOSC Lille
2021-06-04	€9M	LOSC Lille
2021-10-08	€7M	LOSC Lille
2021-12-16	€10M	LOSC Lille
2022-03-21	€15M	Atlético de Madrid
2022-06-03	€22M	Atlético de Madrid
2022-09-23	€25M	Atlético de Madrid
2022-11-07	€25M	Atlético de Madrid
2023-06-13	€25M	Atlético de Madrid
2023-10-13	€20M	Atlético de Madrid
2023-12-22	€16M	Atlético de Madrid
2024-03-21	€12M	Atlético de Madrid
2024-06-07	€9M	Atlético de Madrid
2024-12-27	€8M	Atlético de Madrid
2025-06-09	€5M	Atlético de Madrid
2025-12-09	€5M	Sunderland AFC
2026-06-03	€4M	Sunderland AFC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.152

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 16% of the 555 Premier League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Mandava appears

TerminalPremier League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPremier League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).