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Simone

Perilli

GKItaly · Hellas Verona

№ 240675Emerging €453k −0.12

Player dossierSerie A

SimonePerilli

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Hellas Verona
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
31
Height
196 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Perilli at €400k. Model A, which never saw Perilli during training, estimates €453k: the market value is 12% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €399k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.12A €453k▲ 0.00B €399k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
6
Minutes
540
Started
6/6
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Perilli…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €453k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Simone Perilli's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 4th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 14th, European club minutes 32nd4thMinutes62ndStarts14thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Nov 2012
Peak
€400k
Jun 2025
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
27
7 club changes
May 2026€400kHellas VeronaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, Hellas Verona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-11-05€100kSassuolo Primavera
2013-04-10€75kSassuolo Primavera
2014-05-08€50kSassuolo Primavera
2015-02-04€50kAurora Pro Patria
2015-06-19€50kAurora Pro Patria
2016-01-14€150kAC Reggiana 1919
2016-06-15€200kAC Reggiana 1919
2016-12-14€250kAC Reggiana 1919
2017-06-21€200kAC Reggiana 1919
2017-12-19€200kPordenone Calcio
2018-06-20€200kPordenone Calcio
2019-01-17€200kAC Perugia Calcio
2019-06-05€150kAC Perugia Calcio
2019-12-30€150kAC Pisa 1909
2020-08-21€100kAC Pisa 1909
2021-02-22€300kAC Pisa 1909
2021-06-24€200kAC Pisa 1909
2021-12-29€200kBrescia Calcio (- 2025)
2022-06-06€200kBrescia Calcio (- 2025)
2022-11-11€200kHellas Verona
2023-06-15€200kHellas Verona
2023-12-20€200kHellas Verona
2024-06-05€200kHellas Verona
2024-12-18€200kHellas Verona
2025-06-17€400kHellas Verona
2025-12-23€400kHellas Verona
2026-05-29€400kHellas Verona

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.124

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 0% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 21% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Perilli appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).