FairValue

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Florent

Hadergjonaj

RMKosovo · Alanyaspor

№ 238809Emerging €1.3M +0.34

Player dossierSüper Lig

FlorentHadergjonaj

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
Alanyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Kosovo
Age
31
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hadergjonaj at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Hadergjonaj during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 41% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.41. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.34A €1.3M▼ −0.15B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
5,117
Goals
10
Assists
15
Started
57/63
Min / app
81
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hadergjonaj…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Florent Hadergjonaj's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 93rd, Minutes, two years 87th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 74th, European club minutes 30th78thGoals93rdAssists87thMinutes87thStarts74thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.26 this player0.09 midfielder median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2013
Peak
€7M
Dec 2018
Model target
€1.8M
May 2026
Valuations
42
7 club changes
May 2026€1.8MAlanyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.8M, Alanyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-11-26€50kBSC Young Boys U21
2014-02-14€100kBSC Young Boys
2014-07-16€350kBSC Young Boys
2014-09-12€600kBSC Young Boys
2014-12-15€1.5MBSC Young Boys
2015-04-14€2MBSC Young Boys
2015-06-18€2MBSC Young Boys
2015-12-18€2MBSC Young Boys
2016-04-20€3MBSC Young Boys
2016-07-16€3MBSC Young Boys
2016-10-13€2MFC Ingolstadt 04
2017-02-07€2.5MFC Ingolstadt 04
2017-06-19€2.5MFC Ingolstadt 04
2018-01-02€2.5MHuddersfield Town
2018-03-23€5MHuddersfield Town
2018-05-28€5MHuddersfield Town
2018-10-17€6MHuddersfield Town
2018-12-19€7MHuddersfield Town
2019-06-13€7MHuddersfield Town
2020-03-25€5MKasimpasa
2020-04-08€4MKasimpasa
2020-08-04€3.5MHuddersfield Town
2020-12-23€3.5MKasimpasa
2021-03-16€4MKasimpasa
2021-05-21€4MKasimpasa
2021-10-12€4MKasimpasa
2022-01-04€3.4MKasimpasa
2022-03-31€3.6MKasimpasa
2022-06-01€4MKasimpasa
2022-10-27€4MKasimpasa
2023-03-14€3.3MKasimpasa
2023-06-08€3.1MKasimpasa
2023-09-27€2.8MAlanyaspor
2023-12-21€2MAlanyaspor
2024-03-15€2MAlanyaspor
2024-05-31€2MAlanyaspor
2024-10-04€1.7MAlanyaspor
2024-12-23€1.6MAlanyaspor
2025-03-20€1.6MAlanyaspor
2025-06-18€1.5MAlanyaspor
2025-12-17€1.5MAlanyaspor
2026-05-21€1.8MAlanyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.343

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 60% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hadergjonaj appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).