Laurent
Abergel
DMFrance · FC Lorient
Player dossierLigue 1
LaurentAbergel
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Lorient
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 170 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Abergel at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Abergel during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 44% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.44. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €709k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 28
- Minutes
- 2,325
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 27/28
- Min / app
- 83
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Abergel…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
96% this player69% midfielder median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Jul 2013
- Peak
- €3M
- May 2022
- Model target
- €1.8M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 32
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.8M, FC Lorient. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-07-02 | €150k | Olympique Marseille |
| 2014-01-14 | €150k | Olympique Marseille |
| 2014-08-07 | €250k | Olympique Marseille |
| 2014-11-20 | €250k | AC Ajaccio |
| 2015-01-14 | €300k | AC Ajaccio |
| 2015-05-30 | €300k | AC Ajaccio |
| 2016-02-04 | €300k | AC Ajaccio |
| 2016-07-13 | €400k | AC Ajaccio |
| 2017-03-20 | €600k | AC Ajaccio |
| 2017-06-15 | €800k | AC Ajaccio |
| 2018-05-16 | €800k | AS Nancy-Lorraine |
| 2019-01-08 | €800k | AS Nancy-Lorraine |
| 2019-06-27 | €800k | AS Nancy-Lorraine |
| 2019-09-30 | €900k | FC Lorient |
| 2020-01-06 | €900k | FC Lorient |
| 2020-04-08 | €725k | FC Lorient |
| 2020-08-14 | €1M | FC Lorient |
| 2020-10-15 | €1.8M | FC Lorient |
| 2021-01-07 | €2M | FC Lorient |
| 2021-04-09 | €2.5M | FC Lorient |
| 2021-06-04 | €2.5M | FC Lorient |
| 2021-12-16 | €2.5M | FC Lorient |
| 2022-05-30 | €3M | FC Lorient |
| 2022-11-02 | €3M | FC Lorient |
| 2023-06-27 | €3M | FC Lorient |
| 2023-12-18 | €3M | FC Lorient |
| 2024-06-03 | €3M | FC Lorient |
| 2024-10-03 | €2.5M | FC Lorient |
| 2024-12-04 | €2.5M | FC Lorient |
| 2025-06-02 | €2.5M | FC Lorient |
| 2025-12-15 | €2M | FC Lorient |
| 2026-06-01 | €1.8M | FC Lorient |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.362
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 16% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Abergel appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TrappGKParis FC · Ligue 1€1.8M
- ImmobileCFParis FC · Ligue 1€1.8M
- BelkeblaCMAngers SCO · Ligue 1€1.8M
- BoufalAMLe Havre AC · Ligue 1€1.8M
- StögerAMBorussia Mönchengladbach · midfielders€1.8M
- GerhardtCMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€1.8M
- PflückeRMRoyal Charleroi SC · midfielders€1.8M
- DendonckerDMReal Oviedo · midfielders€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).