FairValue

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Ianis

Hagi

AMRomania · Alanyaspor

№ 282076Emerging €2.2M −0.19

Player dossierSüper Lig

IanisHagi

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Alanyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Romania
Age
27
Height
182 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hagi at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Hagi during training, estimates €2.2M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.19A €2.2M▼ −0.99B €4.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
56
Minutes
3,184
Goals
7
Assists
9
Started
36/56
Min / app
57
Cards
11Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hagi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €2.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ianis Hagi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 92nd, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 41st, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 66th82ndGoals92ndAssists60thMinutes41stStarts46thRecent66thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.09 midfielder median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€350k
Jun 2015
Peak
€7M
Dec 2021
Model target
€1.8M
May 2026
Valuations
31
7 club changes
May 2026€1.8MAlanyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.8M, Alanyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-06-01€350kFC Viitorul Constanta
2015-09-30€600kFC Viitorul Constanta
2015-12-22€600kFC Viitorul Constanta
2016-06-01€750kFC Viitorul Constanta
2017-01-02€750kACF Fiorentina
2017-06-08€750kACF Fiorentina
2017-12-29€750kACF Fiorentina
2018-06-14€1.5MFC Viitorul Constanta
2018-12-23€2.5MFC Viitorul Constanta
2019-04-04€3.5MFC Viitorul Constanta
2019-06-18€6MFC Viitorul Constanta
2019-12-13€6MKRC Genk
2020-02-05€5MRangers FC
2020-04-08€4.5MRangers FC
2020-07-21€4.5MRangers FC
2021-01-18€6MRangers FC
2021-06-28€6.5MRangers FC
2021-12-31€7MRangers FC
2022-06-27€7MRangers FC
2022-12-13€7MRangers FC
2023-03-22€5MRangers FC
2023-06-26€4MRangers FC
2023-12-22€3.5MDeportivo Alavés
2024-03-21€2.5MDeportivo Alavés
2024-06-07€2MDeportivo Alavés
2024-10-02€1.8MRangers FC
2024-12-03€1.5MRangers FC
2025-03-12€2MRangers FC
2025-06-17€1.5MRangers FC
2025-12-17€1.8MAlanyaspor
2026-05-21€1.8MAlanyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.188

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 60% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hagi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).