FairValue

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Artem

Shabanov

CBUkraine · Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

№ 236468Emerging €620k −1.13

Player dossierPremier Liha

ArtemShabanov

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
34
Height
190 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Shabanov at €200k. Model A, which never saw Shabanov during training, estimates €620k: the market value is 68% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.13A €620k▼ −1.66B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
62
Minutes
5,580
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
62/62
Min / app
90
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Shabanov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €620k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Artem Shabanov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 50th, Assists per 90 45th, Minutes, two years 89th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 85th, European club minutes 30th50thGoals45thAssists89thMinutes97thStarts85thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Mar 2014
Peak
€2M
Jan 2020
Model target
€200k
Jun 2026
Valuations
31
9 club changes
Jun 2026€200kMetalist 1925 KharkivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €200k, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-03-28€200kVolyn Lutsk
2014-06-30€200kVolyn Lutsk
2014-12-25€500kVolyn Lutsk
2015-06-07€700kVolyn Lutsk
2015-12-17€700kVolyn Lutsk
2016-07-21€700kVolyn Lutsk
2016-09-30€600kVolyn Lutsk
2017-01-03€500kVolyn Lutsk
2017-06-26€500kPFC Stal Kamyanske (-2018)
2018-01-12€1MDynamo Kyiv
2018-05-14€1.2MDynamo Kyiv
2018-08-06€1.2MDynamo Kyiv
2018-12-10€1.2MDynamo Kyiv
2019-03-22€1.5MDynamo Kyiv
2019-06-20€1.5MDynamo Kyiv
2020-01-08€2MDynamo Kyiv
2020-04-08€1.6MDynamo Kyiv
2020-09-04€2MDynamo Kyiv
2021-01-14€1.5MDynamo Kyiv
2021-05-21€1.5MLegia Warszawa
2021-12-20€1.2MDynamo Kyiv
2022-06-07€1MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-10-11€750kFehérvár FC
2023-02-22€500kFehérvár FC
2023-06-07€300kFehérvár FC
2023-12-11€300kPolissya Zhytomyr
2024-06-06€300kPolissya Zhytomyr
2024-12-17€250kFC Oleksandriya
2025-06-10€250kFC Oleksandriya
2025-12-18€250kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2026-06-02€200kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.131

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 10% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Shabanov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).