FairValue

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Per Kristian

Bråtveit

GKNorway · Aberdeen FC

№ 226410Emerging €115k +1.47

Player dossierPremiership

Per KristianBråtveit

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Aberdeen FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Norway
Age
30
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bråtveit at €500k. Model A, which never saw Bråtveit during training, estimates €115k: the market value is 334% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×4.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €451k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.47A €115k▲ +0.10B €451k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
5
Minutes
450
Started
5/5
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bråtveit…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €115k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Per Kristian Bråtveit's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 1st, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 32nd1stMinutes62ndStarts17thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2014
Peak
€900k
Dec 2021
Model target
€500k
May 2026
Valuations
23
7 club changes
May 2026€500kAberdeen FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €500k, Aberdeen FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-12-07€100kFK Haugesund
2015-08-19€500kFK Haugesund
2015-12-27€600kFK Haugesund
2016-12-18€600kFK Haugesund
2017-12-23€600kFK Haugesund
2018-12-30€700kFK Haugesund
2019-06-28€800kDjurgårdens IF
2019-11-20€400kDjurgårdens IF
2020-04-08€325kDjurgårdens IF
2020-08-05€600kDjurgårdens IF
2020-12-10€800kDjurgårdens IF
2021-05-19€700kFC Groningen
2021-12-27€900kNîmes Olympique
2022-06-02€900kNîmes Olympique
2022-09-13€600kAarhus GF
2022-12-22€400kAarhus GF
2023-06-26€400kAarhus GF
2023-12-15€450kOdds BK
2024-06-12€500kStrømsgodset IF
2024-12-12€600kStrømsgodset IF
2025-06-18€600kStrømsgodset IF
2025-12-15€600kStrømsgodset IF
2026-05-20€500kAberdeen FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.469

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 55% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 27% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bråtveit appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).