Srdjan
Babic
CBSerbia · Spartak Moscow
Player dossierPremier Liga
SrdjanBabic
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Spartak Moscow
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Serbia
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 194 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Babic at €4M. Model A, which never saw Babic during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 199% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.99. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 44
- Minutes
- 3,441
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 40/44
- Min / app
- 78
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Babic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
91% this player83% defender median72nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €700k
- Nov 2014
- Peak
- €6M
- Sept 2024
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 30
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €4M, Spartak Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-11 | €700k | FK Vojvodina Novi Sad |
| 2015-06-15 | €1.3M | FK Vojvodina Novi Sad |
| 2015-09-02 | €1M | Real Sociedad B |
| 2016-08-01 | €1M | Real Sociedad B |
| 2016-10-27 | €700k | CF Reus Deportiu |
| 2017-01-24 | €700k | CF Reus Deportiu |
| 2017-06-29 | €600k | CF Reus Deportiu |
| 2018-01-10 | €850k | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2018-07-02 | €1M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2019-01-14 | €1.5M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2019-06-09 | €1.8M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2019-10-28 | €1.5M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.2M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2020-06-28 | €1.4M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2021-01-28 | €1.5M | FC Famalicão |
| 2021-05-21 | €1.5M | FC Famalicão |
| 2021-12-27 | €1.5M | UD Almería |
| 2022-06-29 | €2M | UD Almería |
| 2022-09-23 | €3M | UD Almería |
| 2022-11-07 | €3M | UD Almería |
| 2023-03-23 | €3.5M | UD Almería |
| 2023-06-13 | €3.5M | UD Almería |
| 2023-10-05 | €4M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2023-12-13 | €4M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2024-06-04 | €4M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2024-09-18 | €6M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2024-12-12 | €6M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2025-06-04 | €6M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2025-12-16 | €5M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2026-05-26 | €4M | Spartak Moscow |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.097
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 84% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Babic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MaksimenkoGKSpartak Moscow · Premier Liga€4M
- MoisésLBCSKA Moscow · Premier Liga€4M
- HodzaDMRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€4M
- LukinCBCSKA Moscow · Premier Liga€4M
- KolasinacCBAtalanta BC · defenders€4M
- TagliaficoLBOlympique Lyon · defenders€4M
- BurnCBNewcastle United · defenders€4M
- SchärCBNewcastle United · defenders€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).