FairValue

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Vladimir

Iljin

CFRussia · FC Sochi

№ 220650Emerging €348k +0.14

Player dossierPremier Liga

VladimirIljin

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
FC Sochi
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
34
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Iljin at €400k. Model A, which never saw Iljin during training, estimates €348k: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €464k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €348k▼ −0.15B €464k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,694
Goals
6
Assists
4
Started
33/40
Min / app
67
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Iljin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €348k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vladimir Iljin's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 37th, Assists per 90 45th, Minutes, two years 61st, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 24th, European club minutes 28th37thGoals45thAssists61stMinutes86thStarts24thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

83% this player59% attacker median86th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2013
Peak
€2.2M
Jun 2021
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
29
10 club changes
May 2026€400kFC SochiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, FC Sochi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-03-02€25kFK Piter St. Petersburg (-2013)
2013-09-13€100kDinamo St. Petersburg
2015-06-11€100kKhimik Dzerzhinsk
2016-01-17€200kFC Tosno
2016-07-01€400kKuban Krasnodar (-2018)
2016-12-24€400kKuban Krasnodar (-2018)
2017-06-01€700kUral Yekaterinburg
2017-12-23€700kUral Yekaterinburg
2018-06-06€1.5MUral Yekaterinburg
2018-12-20€1.5MUral Yekaterinburg
2019-06-14€1MUral Yekaterinburg
2019-12-23€1.5MUral Yekaterinburg
2020-04-08€1.2MAkhmat Grozny
2020-07-29€1.2MAkhmat Grozny
2020-10-19€1.5MAkhmat Grozny
2020-12-29€1.8MAkhmat Grozny
2021-06-02€2.2MAkhmat Grozny
2021-09-15€2MFC Krasnodar
2021-12-29€1.8MFC Krasnodar
2022-06-02€1MFC Krasnodar
2022-11-21€800kAkhmat Grozny
2023-06-14€700kAkhmat Grozny
2023-10-05€900kAkhmat Grozny
2023-12-13€800kAkhmat Grozny
2024-06-04€700kAkhmat Grozny
2024-12-12€600kFakel Voronezh
2025-06-04€500kFakel Voronezh
2025-12-16€450kFC Sochi
2026-05-26€400kFC Sochi

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.138

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 10% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Iljin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).