FairValue

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Ricardo

Pereira

RBPortugal · Leicester City

№ 215876Established €835k +1.28

Player dossierPremier League

RicardoPereira

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Leicester City
League
Premier League
Nationality
Portugal
Age
32
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Pereira at €3M. Model A, which never saw Pereira during training, estimates €835k: the market value is 259% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.59. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €323k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.28A €835k▲ +2.23B €323k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
11
Minutes
475
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
5/11
Min / app
43
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pereira…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €835k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ricardo Pereira's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 1st, Starts 5th, Minutes, last 365 days 6th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists1stMinutes5thStarts6thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Mar 2012
Peak
€40M
Dec 2019
Model target
€3M
Dec 2025
Valuations
34
5 club changes
Dec 2025€3MLeicester CityValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €3M, Leicester City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-03-14€100kVitória Guimarães SC
2012-07-02€300kVitória Guimarães SC
2013-03-28€1.8MVitória Guimarães SC
2013-07-02€2.5MFC Porto B
2014-07-25€4MFC Porto B
2015-02-17€3.8MFC Porto
2015-07-01€3.8MFC Porto
2016-02-04€4.5MOGC Nice
2016-07-13€6MOGC Nice
2016-11-01€9MOGC Nice
2017-01-16€9MOGC Nice
2017-06-01€9MOGC Nice
2018-02-07€13MFC Porto
2018-06-13€20MFC Porto
2018-12-19€20MLeicester City
2019-06-13€25MLeicester City
2019-09-12€30MLeicester City
2019-12-10€40MLeicester City
2020-04-08€32MLeicester City
2020-10-13€32MLeicester City
2021-03-18€30MLeicester City
2021-06-08€30MLeicester City
2021-12-23€25MLeicester City
2022-06-15€20MLeicester City
2022-09-15€18MLeicester City
2022-11-03€12MLeicester City
2023-06-20€10MLeicester City
2023-12-21€9MLeicester City
2024-05-24€8MLeicester City
2024-12-16€7MLeicester City
2025-03-18€5MLeicester City
2025-05-30€4.5MLeicester City
2025-10-06€4MLeicester City
2025-12-03€3MLeicester City

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.279

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 12% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pereira appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).