FairValue

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Rubén

García

RWSpain · CA Osasuna

№ 213260Emerging €2.3M −0.34

Player dossierLaLiga

RubénGarcía

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
CA Osasuna
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
32
Height
172 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values García at €1.6M. Model A, which never saw García during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 29% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.41. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.34A €2.3M▼ −0.56B €2.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
79
Minutes
5,059
Goals
7
Assists
13
Started
61/79
Min / app
64
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for García…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.6MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Rubén García's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 91st, Starts 79th, Minutes, last 365 days 84th, European club minutes 28th18thGoals79thAssists91stMinutes79thStarts84thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,059 this player2,242 attacker median91st percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Nov 2012
Peak
€10M
Oct 2020
Model target
€1.6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
35
2 club changes
Jun 2026€1.6MCA OsasunaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.6M, CA Osasuna. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-11-03€500kLevante UD
2013-01-11€1MLevante UD
2013-06-14€4MLevante UD
2013-09-17€5MLevante UD
2014-01-24€5MLevante UD
2014-07-19€5MLevante UD
2015-01-23€3MLevante UD
2015-07-01€3MLevante UD
2016-02-22€2.5MLevante UD
2016-07-15€1.5MLevante UD
2017-01-24€1.5MLevante UD
2017-06-29€1.5MLevante UD
2017-08-17€1.2MSporting Gijón
2018-01-01€1.2MSporting Gijón
2018-05-30€1.5MSporting Gijón
2019-02-19€2MCA Osasuna
2019-06-29€3.5MCA Osasuna
2019-12-20€5MCA Osasuna
2020-03-05€7.5MCA Osasuna
2020-04-08€6MCA Osasuna
2020-10-08€10MCA Osasuna
2021-01-05€10MCA Osasuna
2021-06-10€10MCA Osasuna
2021-10-13€8MCA Osasuna
2021-12-30€8MCA Osasuna
2022-06-03€8MCA Osasuna
2022-11-07€6MCA Osasuna
2023-06-13€6MCA Osasuna
2023-10-13€4MCA Osasuna
2023-12-22€3MCA Osasuna
2024-06-07€2.5MCA Osasuna
2024-12-27€2MCA Osasuna
2025-06-09€2MCA Osasuna
2025-12-12€1.8MCA Osasuna
2026-06-05€1.6MCA Osasuna

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.345

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 24% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.6MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 42% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where García appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).