FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Moi

Gómez

AMSpain · CA Osasuna

№ 175449Emerging €1.2M +0.19

Player dossierLaLiga

MoiGómez

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
CA Osasuna
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
31
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gómez at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Gómez during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 21% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.19A €1.2M▲ +0.20B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
2,426
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
23/57
Min / app
43
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gómez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Moi Gómez's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 12th, Minutes, last 365 days 48th, European club minutes 30th46thGoals41stAssists46thMinutes12thStarts48thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,478 this player1,541 midfielder median48th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Apr 2012
Peak
€10M
Mar 2023
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
38
6 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MCA OsasunaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, CA Osasuna. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-04-30€500kVillarreal CF B
2012-08-08€1MVillarreal CF
2013-01-22€1MVillarreal CF
2013-05-10€1.5MVillarreal CF
2014-01-23€2MVillarreal CF
2014-07-20€3MVillarreal CF
2015-01-23€5MVillarreal CF
2015-07-01€5MVillarreal CF
2015-07-16€5MGetafe CF
2016-02-22€3.5MGetafe CF
2016-04-07€3MGetafe CF
2016-07-15€2.5MSporting Gijón
2017-01-24€3MSporting Gijón
2017-06-05€3MSporting Gijón
2017-08-17€2.5MSporting Gijón
2018-01-01€2MSporting Gijón
2018-05-30€2MSD Huesca
2018-12-21€4MSD Huesca
2019-02-28€5MSD Huesca
2019-06-11€5MSD Huesca
2019-12-20€6MVillarreal CF
2020-04-08€4.8MVillarreal CF
2020-07-23€9MVillarreal CF
2020-10-08€9MVillarreal CF
2021-01-05€8MVillarreal CF
2021-06-10€8MVillarreal CF
2021-12-30€8MVillarreal CF
2022-06-03€8MVillarreal CF
2022-11-07€8MCA Osasuna
2023-03-23€10MCA Osasuna
2023-06-13€10MCA Osasuna
2023-10-13€5MCA Osasuna
2023-12-22€5MCA Osasuna
2024-06-07€3.5MCA Osasuna
2024-12-27€3MCA Osasuna
2025-06-09€2MCA Osasuna
2025-12-12€1.8MCA Osasuna
2026-06-05€1.5MCA Osasuna

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.192

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 20% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gómez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).