FairValue

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Dimitrios

Pelkas

AMGreece · PAOK Thessaloniki

№ 212832Emerging €950k +0.23

Player dossierSuper League

DimitriosPelkas

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
PAOK Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
32
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pelkas at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Pelkas during training, estimates €950k: the market value is 26% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.26. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.23A €950k▲ +0.12B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
1,850
Goals
7
Assists
8
Started
22/45
Min / app
41
Cards
5Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pelkas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €950k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dimitrios Pelkas's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 95th, Assists per 90 99th, Minutes, two years 33rd, Starts 20th, Minutes, last 365 days 22nd, European club minutes 99th95thGoals99thAssists33rdMinutes20thStarts22ndRecent99thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

39% this player0% midfielder median99th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jan 2012
Peak
€7M
May 2021
Model target
€1.2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
39
6 club changes
Jun 2026€1.2MPAOK ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.2M, PAOK Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-01-23€250kPAOK Thessaloniki
2012-02-26€250kPAOK Thessaloniki
2012-09-21€400kPAOK Thessaloniki
2013-02-10€600kPAOK Thessaloniki
2015-02-17€700kVitória Setúbal FC
2015-07-01€750kPAOK Thessaloniki
2015-09-27€1.3MPAOK Thessaloniki
2016-02-21€1.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2016-06-21€1.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2016-12-21€1.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2017-05-11€1.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2017-12-18€2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2018-05-22€4MPAOK Thessaloniki
2018-12-07€4MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-05-21€4MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-09-23€3.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-12-18€3MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-04-08€2.4MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-08-04€2.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-12-23€3MFenerbahce
2021-03-16€6MFenerbahce
2021-05-21€7MFenerbahce
2021-10-12€7MFenerbahce
2022-01-04€5MFenerbahce
2022-03-31€5MFenerbahce
2022-06-01€4.5MFenerbahce
2022-09-14€4MHull City
2022-10-27€3.5MHull City
2023-03-24€3.2MHull City
2023-06-01€2.8MHull City
2023-09-27€2.7MBasaksehir FK
2023-12-21€2.3MBasaksehir FK
2024-03-15€2MBasaksehir FK
2024-05-31€2MBasaksehir FK
2024-10-04€2MBasaksehir FK
2024-12-23€1.8MBasaksehir FK
2025-05-23€1.8MPAOK Thessaloniki
2025-12-12€1.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€1.2MPAOK Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.234

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 69% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pelkas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).