Igor
Lichnovsky
CBChile · Fatih Karagümrük
Player dossierSüper Lig
IgorLichnovsky
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Fatih Karagümrük
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Chile
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Lichnovsky at €800k. Model A, which never saw Lichnovsky during training, estimates €447k: the market value is 79% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €614k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 13
- Minutes
- 1,170
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 13/13
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lichnovsky…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Dec 2011
- Peak
- €4M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €800k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 30
- 10 club changes
May 2026: €800k, Fatih Karagümrük. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-12-25 | €300k | Unknown |
| 2015-07-01 | €750k | FC Porto B |
| 2016-02-22 | €700k | Sporting Gijón |
| 2016-07-29 | €600k | FC Porto B |
| 2017-01-24 | €500k | Real Valladolid CF |
| 2017-06-29 | €500k | Real Valladolid CF |
| 2018-04-10 | €1.8M | Club Necaxa |
| 2018-08-23 | €2M | CD Cruz Azul |
| 2019-02-08 | €2M | CD Cruz Azul |
| 2019-08-13 | €2.5M | CD Cruz Azul |
| 2020-01-10 | €2.5M | CD Cruz Azul |
| 2020-04-08 | €2M | CD Cruz Azul |
| 2020-06-27 | €2M | CD Cruz Azul |
| 2021-01-31 | €2.2M | Al-Shabab FC |
| 2021-06-18 | €2.5M | Al-Shabab FC |
| 2022-01-06 | €2.5M | Al-Shabab FC |
| 2022-04-11 | €3M | Tigres UANL |
| 2022-09-08 | €3.5M | Tigres UANL |
| 2022-10-31 | €3.5M | Tigres UANL |
| 2023-03-30 | €3.5M | Tigres UANL |
| 2023-06-29 | €3.5M | Tigres UANL |
| 2023-12-29 | €4M | CF América |
| 2024-06-14 | €4M | CF América |
| 2024-10-10 | €2.5M | CF América |
| 2024-12-11 | €2M | CF América |
| 2025-03-31 | €1.5M | CF América |
| 2025-05-26 | €1M | CF América |
| 2025-12-29 | €900k | CF América |
| 2026-03-05 | €800k | Fatih Karagümrük |
| 2026-05-21 | €800k | Fatih Karagümrük |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.581
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 33% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Lichnovsky appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NiangCFGenclerbirligi Ankara · Süper Lig€800k
- UçanCMBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€800k
- WinckRBKasimpasa · Süper Lig€800k
- GoutasCBGenclerbirligi Ankara · Süper Lig€800k
- CaraccioloCBPisa Sporting Club · defenders€800k
- BianchettiCBUS Cremonese · defenders€800k
- WidmerRB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€800k
- RodineiRBOlympiacos Piraeus · defenders€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).