FairValue

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Görkem

Sağlam

CMTürkiye · Kayserispor

№ 251345Emerging €748k +0.07

Player dossierSüper Lig

GörkemSağlam

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Kayserispor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
28
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sağlam at €800k. Model A, which never saw Sağlam during training, estimates €748k: the market value is 7% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €984k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.07A €748k▼ −0.21B €984k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
43
Minutes
2,756
Goals
4
Assists
9
Started
30/43
Min / app
64
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sağlam…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €748k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Görkem Sağlam's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 66th, Assists per 90 95th, Minutes, two years 53rd, Starts 51st, Minutes, last 365 days 11th, European club minutes 30th66thGoals95thAssists53rdMinutes51stStarts11thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.29 this player0.09 midfielder median95th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
Sept 2015
Peak
€1.1M
Mar 2024
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
28
5 club changes
May 2026€800kKayserisporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Kayserispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-09-03€125kVfL Bochum U19
2016-02-11€125kVfL Bochum U19
2016-07-22€150kVfL Bochum
2017-01-23€300kVfL Bochum
2017-06-27€350kVfL Bochum
2018-01-22€350kVfL Bochum
2018-06-19€300kVfL Bochum
2019-01-08€300kVfL Bochum
2019-06-12€300kVfL Bochum
2019-12-13€300kVfL Bochum
2020-10-14€700kWillem II Tilburg
2021-05-19€700kWillem II Tilburg
2022-01-05€700kWillem II Tilburg
2022-06-08€600kWillem II Tilburg
2022-10-27€600kGiresunspor
2023-03-14€600kGiresunspor
2023-06-08€600kGiresunspor
2023-09-27€850kHatayspor
2023-12-21€1MHatayspor
2024-03-15€1.1MHatayspor
2024-05-31€850kHatayspor
2024-10-04€950kHatayspor
2024-12-23€1.1MHatayspor
2025-03-20€1.1MHatayspor
2025-06-18€1.1MHatayspor
2025-10-08€1MHatayspor
2025-12-29€900kHatayspor
2026-05-21€800kKayserispor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.067

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 33% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sağlam appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).