FairValue

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Taylan

Antalyalı

DMTürkiye · Caykur Rizespor

№ 204176Emerging €972k −0.33

Player dossierSüper Lig

TaylanAntalyalı

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Caykur Rizespor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
31
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Antalyalı at €700k. Model A, which never saw Antalyalı during training, estimates €972k: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.33A €972k▼ −0.43B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
3,156
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
36/52
Min / app
61
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Antalyalı…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €972k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Taylan Antalyalı's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 24th, Assists per 90 20th, Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 50th, Minutes, last 365 days 45th, European club minutes 30th24thGoals20thAssists59thMinutes50thStarts45thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,156 this player2,607 midfielder median59th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2012
Peak
€6M
Mar 2021
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
40
7 club changes
May 2026€700kCaykur RizesporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Caykur Rizespor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-06-22€50kBucaspor
2013-01-06€75kBucaspor
2013-06-20€200kBucaspor
2014-01-20€250kBucaspor
2014-07-01€500kBucaspor
2015-01-26€750kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2015-06-25€700kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2016-01-18€500kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2016-07-15€500kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2017-06-30€200kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2018-02-05€150kBüyüksehir Belediye Erzurumspor
2018-05-30€300kBüyüksehir Belediye Erzurumspor
2018-12-22€750kBüyüksehir Belediye Erzurumspor
2019-06-04€1MBüyüksehir Belediye Erzurumspor
2019-10-04€1.3MGalatasaray
2020-01-03€1.2MGalatasaray
2020-04-08€950kGalatasaray
2020-08-04€950kGalatasaray
2020-10-12€1.2MGalatasaray
2020-12-23€3MGalatasaray
2021-03-16€6MGalatasaray
2021-05-25€6MGalatasaray
2021-10-12€5.5MGalatasaray
2022-01-04€5MGalatasaray
2022-03-31€4.1MGalatasaray
2022-06-01€3.5MGalatasaray
2022-10-27€3MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-03-14€2.5MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-06-08€2.3MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-09-27€2MSamsunspor
2023-12-21€1.6MSamsunspor
2024-03-15€1.6MSamsunspor
2024-05-31€1.6MSamsunspor
2024-10-04€1.6MBodrum FK
2024-12-23€1.2MBodrum FK
2025-03-20€1MBodrum FK
2025-06-18€900kBodrum FK
2025-10-01€800kCaykur Rizespor
2025-12-17€800kCaykur Rizespor
2026-05-21€700kCaykur Rizespor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.328

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 29% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Antalyalı appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).