FairValue

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Caleb

Ekuban

CFGhana · Genoa CFC

№ 199953Emerging €2M −0.53

Player dossierSerie A

CalebEkuban

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Genoa CFC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Ghana
Age
32
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ekuban at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Ekuban during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 41% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €989k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.53A €2M▲ +0.19B €989k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
1,537
Goals
5
Assists
4
Started
9/50
Min / app
31
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ekuban…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Caleb Ekuban's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 33rd, Starts 3rd, Minutes, last 365 days 37th, European club minutes 28th56thGoals79thAssists33rdMinutes3rdStarts37thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.23 this player0.15 attacker median79th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2011
Peak
€7M
May 2021
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
33
8 club changes
May 2026€1.2MGenoa CFCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Genoa CFC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-11-14€50kChievo Primavera
2012-03-07€75kChievo Primavera
2013-06-06€125kChievo Primavera
2014-03-07€175kAC Lumezzane
2014-07-15€175kChievo Verona
2015-02-04€200kAC Lumezzane
2015-06-19€200kAC Lumezzane
2016-01-14€175kAC Renate
2016-06-15€175kAC Renate
2017-06-14€750kFK Partizani
2017-09-18€750kLeeds United
2018-02-27€500kLeeds United
2018-08-17€500kLeeds United
2019-01-04€700kTrabzonspor
2019-06-04€1.3MTrabzonspor
2019-10-04€4MTrabzonspor
2020-01-03€4MTrabzonspor
2020-04-08€3.2MTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€5.5MTrabzonspor
2020-12-23€5.5MTrabzonspor
2021-03-16€6.5MTrabzonspor
2021-05-21€7MTrabzonspor
2021-10-14€5MGenoa CFC
2021-12-28€3.5MGenoa CFC
2022-06-07€1.8MGenoa CFC
2022-12-22€1.5MGenoa CFC
2023-06-12€1.3MGenoa CFC
2023-12-20€1MGenoa CFC
2024-06-05€1.5MGenoa CFC
2024-12-18€1.5MGenoa CFC
2025-06-17€1.3MGenoa CFC
2025-12-23€1.3MGenoa CFC
2026-05-29€1.2MGenoa CFC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.534

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 11% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ekuban appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).