Nico
Elvedi
CBSwitzerland · Borussia Mönchengladbach
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
NicoElvedi
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Elvedi at €8M. Model A, which never saw Elvedi during training, estimates €5.8M: the market value is 38% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 61
- Minutes
- 5,373
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 61/61
- Min / app
- 88
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Elvedi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Feb 2014
- Peak
- €35M
- Mar 2019
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 37
- 1 club change
May 2026: €8M, Borussia Mönchengladbach. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-02-14 | €50k | FC Zürich |
| 2014-09-12 | €50k | FC Zürich |
| 2014-12-16 | €500k | FC Zürich |
| 2015-04-14 | €1.5M | FC Zürich |
| 2015-06-18 | €1.5M | FC Zürich |
| 2015-07-01 | €4M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2016-02-15 | €4M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2016-06-01 | €4M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2016-07-22 | €5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-02-07 | €7M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-06-19 | €7M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-12-28 | €12M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-04-04 | €15M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-06-05 | €17M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-08-22 | €20M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-10-22 | €23M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-12-18 | €25M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-03-06 | €35M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-06-05 | €30M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-12-17 | €35M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2020-04-08 | €28M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2020-09-16 | €30M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-02-10 | €32M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-05-25 | €28M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-10-07 | €25M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-12-22 | €23M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2022-06-09 | €18M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2022-11-09 | €20M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2023-06-22 | €18M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2023-10-18 | €14M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2023-12-14 | €14M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-03-27 | €10M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-05-29 | €10M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-12-20 | €8M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-06-05 | €8M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-12-19 | €8M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2026-05-27 | €8M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.322
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 60% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 78% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Elvedi appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KleindienstCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga€8M
- KarazorDMVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€8M
- NicolasGKBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga€8M
- LynenDMSV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga€8M
- LaporteCBAthletic Bilbao · defenders€8M
- MaguireCBManchester United · defenders€8M
- CanceloRBFC Barcelona · defenders€8M
- ShawLBManchester United · defenders€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).