FairValue

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Tim

Kleindienst

CFGermany · Borussia Mönchengladbach

№ 193033Established €5.1M +0.44

Player dossierBundesliga

TimKleindienst

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Borussia Mönchengladbach
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
30
Height
194 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kleindienst at €8M. Model A, which never saw Kleindienst during training, estimates €5.1M: the market value is 56% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.44A €5.1M▲ +0.82B €3.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
2,935
Goals
16
Assists
10
Started
33/37
Min / app
79
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kleindienst…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €5.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Tim Kleindienst's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 91st, Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 93rd, Minutes, last 365 days 2nd, European club minutes 28th87thGoals91stAssists66thMinutes93rdStarts2ndRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

89% this player59% attacker median93rd percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2013
Peak
€17M
Mar 2025
Model target
€8M
May 2026
Valuations
36
8 club changes
May 2026€8MBorussia MönchengladbachValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €8M, Borussia Mönchengladbach. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-25€100kFC Energie Cottbus U19
2014-01-20€150kFC Energie Cottbus U19
2014-06-26€150kFC Energie Cottbus U19
2014-11-06€300kFC Energie Cottbus
2015-03-07€400kFC Energie Cottbus
2015-07-01€650kSC Freiburg
2016-02-11€500kSC Freiburg
2016-07-22€400k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2017-01-23€650k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2017-06-27€800k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2017-12-28€1.3MSC Freiburg
2018-06-05€2MSC Freiburg
2018-12-18€2MSC Freiburg
2019-06-05€1.5MSC Freiburg
2019-12-13€1.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2020-02-11€2.7M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2020-04-08€2.2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2020-10-16€2.7MKAA Gent
2021-01-04€2.3MKAA Gent
2021-03-29€3M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2021-06-16€3M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2021-12-15€2.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2022-06-16€2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2022-11-30€2.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2023-03-31€3M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2023-06-28€4M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2023-10-18€5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2023-12-14€5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2024-05-29€6M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2024-10-09€8MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2024-12-20€12MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2025-03-27€17MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2025-06-05€17MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2025-12-19€12MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2026-03-20€10MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2026-05-27€8MBorussia Mönchengladbach

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.442

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 60% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 74% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kleindienst appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).