Jackson
Irvine
CMAustralia · FC St. Pauli
Player dossierBundesliga
JacksonIrvine
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC St. Pauli
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Australia
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Irvine at €1M. Model A, which never saw Irvine during training, estimates €695k: the market value is 44% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.44. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €684k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 57
- Minutes
- 4,557
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 50/57
- Min / app
- 80
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Irvine…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
88% this player69% midfielder median83rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Oct 2013
- Peak
- €3.5M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €1M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 25
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €1M, FC St. Pauli. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-10-08 | €100k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2014-02-13 | €150k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2014-10-09 | €175k | Ross County FC |
| 2015-12-01 | €325k | Ross County FC |
| 2016-09-01 | €350k | Burton Albion |
| 2017-02-27 | €1M | Burton Albion |
| 2017-09-18 | €2M | Hull City |
| 2018-02-27 | €2M | Hull City |
| 2018-09-24 | €2.5M | Hull City |
| 2019-06-28 | €3.5M | Hull City |
| 2020-02-27 | €3.5M | Hull City |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.8M | Hull City |
| 2020-11-10 | €2.5M | Without Club |
| 2021-01-18 | €2.5M | Hibernian FC |
| 2021-06-28 | €2M | Hibernian FC |
| 2021-12-15 | €2M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2022-06-16 | €2M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2022-11-14 | €2M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2023-06-28 | €1.5M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2023-12-15 | €1.8M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2024-06-06 | €2M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2024-12-20 | €2M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2025-06-05 | €2M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2025-12-19 | €1.5M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2026-05-27 | €1M | FC St. Pauli |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.364
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 7% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 32% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Irvine appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DzekoCFFC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga€1M
- GulácsiGKRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€1M
- GouweleeuwCBFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€1M
- BuschRB1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga€1M
- ParejoCMVillarreal CF · midfielders€1M
- DemirbayCMKasimpasa · midfielders€1M
- Oxlade-ChamberlainCMCeltic FC · midfielders€1M
- VecinoCMCelta de Vigo · midfielders€1M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).