FairValue

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Portrait of Nick Pope

Nick

Pope

GKEngland · Newcastle United

№ 192080Established €4.9M +0.01

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

NickPope

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Newcastle United
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
34
Height
198 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pope at €5M. Model A, which never saw Pope during training, estimates €4.9M: the market value is 1% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.01A €4.9M▲ +0.22B €4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
5,927
Started
66/66
Min / app
90
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pope…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €4.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Nick Pope's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 85th, European club minutes 76th84thMinutes62ndStarts85thRecent76thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,227 this player1,560 goalkeeper median85th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2014
Peak
€20M
Jun 2023
Model target
€5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
30
2 club changes
Jun 2026€5MNewcastle UnitedValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €5M, Newcastle United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-07-19€50kCharlton Athletic
2014-08-19€100kCharlton Athletic
2015-09-24€150kCharlton Athletic
2016-04-20€200kCharlton Athletic
2016-08-01€750kBurnley FC
2017-02-20€750kBurnley FC
2017-06-28€750kBurnley FC
2017-10-23€1MBurnley FC
2018-01-02€5MBurnley FC
2018-05-28€10MBurnley FC
2018-12-19€10MBurnley FC
2019-06-13€10MBurnley FC
2019-12-10€12MBurnley FC
2020-04-08€9.5MBurnley FC
2020-07-30€12MBurnley FC
2020-10-13€12MBurnley FC
2021-03-18€15MBurnley FC
2021-06-08€15MBurnley FC
2021-12-23€15MBurnley FC
2022-06-15€15MBurnley FC
2022-09-15€18MNewcastle United
2022-11-03€18MNewcastle United
2023-06-20€20MNewcastle United
2023-12-19€20MNewcastle United
2024-05-27€16MNewcastle United
2024-12-16€14MNewcastle United
2025-03-18€10MNewcastle United
2025-05-30€8MNewcastle United
2025-12-09€7MNewcastle United
2026-06-03€5MNewcastle United

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.015

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 21% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 79% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pope appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).