FairValue

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Unai

López

CMSpain · Rayo Vallecano

№ 192009Established €2.4M +0.04

Player dossierLaLiga

UnaiLópez

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Rayo Vallecano
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
30
Height
170 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values López at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw López during training, estimates €2.4M: the market value is 4% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.04A €2.4M▼ −0.18B €3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
3,585
Goals
3
Assists
6
Started
43/66
Min / app
54
Cards
15Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for López…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Unai López's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 71st, Minutes, two years 67th, Starts 42nd, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 63rd46thGoals71stAssists67thMinutes42ndStarts58thRecent63rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.15 this player0.09 midfielder median71st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Oct 2013
Peak
€12M
Jun 2021
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
7 club changes
Jun 2026€2.5MRayo VallecanoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, Rayo Vallecano. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-10-21€200kBilbao Athletic
2014-07-20€500kAthletic Bilbao
2014-08-16€500kAthletic Bilbao
2015-01-23€1MAthletic Bilbao
2015-07-01€2MBilbao Athletic
2015-11-20€1.8MBilbao Athletic
2016-02-22€1.8MBilbao Athletic
2016-07-15€1.5MAthletic Bilbao
2017-01-24€1.5MCD Leganés
2017-06-05€2MCD Leganés
2018-01-01€2MRayo Vallecano
2018-05-30€2MRayo Vallecano
2018-12-21€2MAthletic Bilbao
2019-06-11€1.5MAthletic Bilbao
2019-12-20€3MAthletic Bilbao
2020-04-08€2.4MAthletic Bilbao
2020-10-08€7.5MAthletic Bilbao
2020-11-23€10MAthletic Bilbao
2021-01-05€10MAthletic Bilbao
2021-06-10€12MAthletic Bilbao
2021-12-30€12MRayo Vallecano
2022-03-21€5MRayo Vallecano
2022-06-03€4MRayo Vallecano
2022-11-07€3.5MRayo Vallecano
2023-03-23€4MRayo Vallecano
2023-06-13€3.5MRayo Vallecano
2023-12-22€3.5MRayo Vallecano
2024-06-07€3MRayo Vallecano
2024-12-27€2.8MRayo Vallecano
2025-06-09€2.5MRayo Vallecano
2025-12-12€2.5MRayo Vallecano
2026-06-05€2.5MRayo Vallecano

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.043

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 34% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where López appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).