FairValue

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Budu

Zivzivadze

CFGeorgia · 1.FC Heidenheim 1846

№ 187097Emerging €1.3M −0.08

Player dossierBundesliga

BuduZivzivadze

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
1.FC Heidenheim 1846
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Georgia
Age
32
Height
189 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zivzivadze at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Zivzivadze during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €860k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.08A €1.3M▲ +0.33B €860k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,540
Goals
10
Assists
4
Started
29/40
Min / app
64
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zivzivadze…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Budu Zivzivadze's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 68th, Assists per 90 48th, Minutes, two years 57th, Starts 72nd, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 28th68thGoals48thAssists57thMinutes72ndStarts50thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

73% this player59% attacker median72nd percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2015
Peak
€2.5M
Mar 2025
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
31
10 club changes
May 2026€1.2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, 1.FC Heidenheim 1846. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-03-15€25kTorpedo Kutaisi
2015-07-26€25kFC Samtredia
2016-03-31€325kFC Samtredia
2016-07-23€350kFC Samtredia
2016-12-07€550kFC Samtredia
2017-03-27€450kEsbjerg fB
2017-06-21€250kEsbjerg fB
2017-12-18€100kEsbjerg fB
2018-04-09€250kDinamo Tbilisi
2018-08-29€300kDinamo Tbilisi
2019-01-05€400kEsbjerg fB
2019-05-05€350kTorpedo Kutaisi
2019-08-07€350kMezőkövesd Zsóry FC
2019-10-30€500kMezőkövesd Zsóry FC
2020-04-08€400kMezőkövesd Zsóry FC
2020-07-28€500kMezőkövesd Zsóry FC
2020-10-23€600kVideoton FC Fehérvár
2021-01-24€750kVideoton FC Fehérvár
2021-06-01€800kVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-01-07€600kVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-06-07€800kÚjpest FC
2023-03-31€700kKarlsruher SC
2023-06-28€600kKarlsruher SC
2023-12-15€700kKarlsruher SC
2024-06-06€900kKarlsruher SC
2024-09-25€1.8MKarlsruher SC
2024-12-19€1.8MKarlsruher SC
2025-03-27€2.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2025-06-05€2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2025-12-19€1.2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2026-05-27€1.2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.075

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 10% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zivzivadze appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).