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Kristoffer

Peterson

LWSweden · Fortuna Sittard

№ 186704Emerging €544k −0.19

Player dossierEredivisie

KristofferPeterson

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Fortuna Sittard
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Sweden
Age
31
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Peterson at €450k. Model A, which never saw Peterson during training, estimates €544k: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.19A €544k▼ −1.22B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
3,731
Goals
11
Assists
5
Started
45/68
Min / app
55
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Peterson…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €450kModel A €544k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Kristoffer Peterson's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 51st, Assists per 90 40th, Minutes, two years 77th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 66th, European club minutes 28th51stGoals40thAssists77thMinutes62ndStarts66thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,731 this player2,242 attacker median77th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Aug 2014
Peak
€3.5M
Jun 2019
Model target
€450k
May 2026
Valuations
28
8 club changes
May 2026€450kFortuna SittardValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €450k, Fortuna Sittard. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-08-27€250kFC Utrecht
2015-02-16€400kFC Utrecht
2015-07-01€750kFC Utrecht
2016-02-05€650kRoda JC Kerkrade
2016-07-15€700kFC Utrecht
2017-01-18€500kFC Utrecht
2017-06-07€800kHeracles Almelo
2018-01-17€800kHeracles Almelo
2018-03-27€1.3MHeracles Almelo
2018-06-12€1.5MHeracles Almelo
2018-10-04€3MHeracles Almelo
2018-12-28€3MHeracles Almelo
2019-06-12€3.5MHeracles Almelo
2019-10-17€2MSwansea City
2020-04-08€1.6MFC Utrecht
2021-02-08€1.6MFortuna Düsseldorf
2021-06-16€2MFortuna Düsseldorf
2021-12-15€1.5MFortuna Düsseldorf
2022-06-16€1.2MFortuna Düsseldorf
2022-11-30€1MFortuna Düsseldorf
2023-06-28€800kFortuna Düsseldorf
2023-12-22€600kHapoel Beer Sheva
2024-05-31€600kFortuna Sittard
2024-12-17€600kFortuna Sittard
2025-03-28€800kFortuna Sittard
2025-05-28€800kFortuna Sittard
2025-12-02€600kFortuna Sittard
2026-05-28€450kFortuna Sittard

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.190

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 22% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 14% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Peterson appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).